技术预见的学术关注度与军事医学期刊应用分析——以《海军医学杂志》CNKI收录为例  

Academic focus of technology foresight and the analysis in the application of military medical journals——with the CNKI collection of Journal of Navy Medicine as an example

作　　者：张阵阵[1] 方旭东[1] 莫琳芳[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军医学研究所医学科技信息中心,上海200433

出　　处：《海军医学杂志》2016年第6期487-489,501,共4页Journal of Navy Medicine

基　　金：上海市卫生与计划生育委员会科研课题面上项目(201540295)

摘　　要：从技术预见的概念和分类入手,以中国知网数据库文献为数据源,用德尔斐法、文献计量学等技术预见方法对1997年至2015年的《海军医学杂志》进行调研与统计,汇总其学术关注度及了解技术预见的研究情况,并对《海军医学杂志》的优化组稿和策划选题进行了探讨,为进一步推动海军医学学科的发展发挥重要信息支撑作用。Through the access of the concept and classification of technology foresight, analyses were made by using the data source from the China Knowledge Resource Integrated Database （CNKI）. Literature research and statistics of the data from 1997 -2015 were performed by using the Delphi method and literature metrology technology. With a view to gain an insight into the research status of technology foresight, academic focus on the subject was summarized. In the paper, the military medical journal （i. e. the Navy Medical Journal） was used to perform technology foresight analysis. In the process, an initial attempt and exploration of technology foresight a-nalysis was made on the data of military medical journal, so that qualitative and quantitative technical indicators could be provided for the solicitation of contributions and the development of programs, and an important information support role could be played for the pro-motion of the naval medical discipline.

关 键 词：技术预见 德尔菲法 定量分析 文献计量学 军事医学期刊 

分 类 号：R192[医药卫生—卫生事业管理]