西部地区农业环境行为空间分异计量研究——基于物料平衡原则的线性增长模型检验  

Econometric Study on Spatial Differentiation of Agricultural Environment Behavior in the Western Region:Based on the Principle of Material Balance Linear Growth Model Test

作　　者：姚增福[1] 刘欣[1] 郝金磊 

机构地区：[1]桂林航天工业学院外语外贸系,广西桂林541004 [2]兰州财经大学工商管理学院,甘肃兰州730020

出　　处：《生态经济》2017年第2期140-145,167,共7页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目"西部农户农业环境效率;要素配置效率及其提升机制研究"(15BGL131)

摘　　要：基于地理学中空间地域分异理论和人文地理学思想,利用西部11省份4年纵向数据,构建了基于物料平衡原则的线性增长模型,实证分析了西部11个个体农业环境行为发展的轨迹及其空间分异的预期因子。研究结果表明,最终状态和行为增长率间具有强负相关性,污染估计值较高的地区,其平均农业环境行为将以较快的2.626个单位速度减少,增长率和最终状态在西部地区间差异显著。教育程度和劳动力投入是最终状态和增长率显著负向预期因子,农业经营规模对最终状态有显著正向影响,但对增长率产生了负向影响,农业结构分别是最终状态、增长率的显著、不显著正向预期因子。这些预期因子分别解释了最终状态8.56%的方差变异和个体农业环境行为增长率61.8%的方差变异。This paper analyzes the development trajectory and forecast factor of spatial differentiation of agricultural environmental behavior in the western 11 provinces （area）, based on the thought of geography spatial regional differentiation and human geography, using western 11 provinces （area） in four years＇ longitudinal data and building the linear growth model based on material balance principle. The results show that the final state and behavioral growth rate have a strnng negative correlation, and them have a significant difference in the individual. The individual agricultural environment behavior of the higher pollution will be faster speed to reduce 2.626 units. Education degree and labor input are significant negative expectation factor to the final state and growth rate. Agricultural scale has significant positive effects on final state, but has a negative impact on growth. Agricultural structure respectively is significant positive expectations factor to the final state and no significant positive expectations to growth rate. These expectation factors respectively explain 8.56% proportion of the final state variation and 61.8% proportion of growth rate variance in individual agricultural environment behavior.

关 键 词：西部地区 农业环境行为 发展轨迹 空间分异 HLM 

分 类 号：F329.9[经济管理—产业经济]