未来十年中国地缘政治学重点研究方向  

Key research direction of China's geopolitics in the next decade

作　　者：胡志丁[1,2,3] 陆大道[2,3] 杜德斌[3,4] 葛岳静[3,5] 骆华松[1,3] 

机构地区：[1]云南师范大学旅游与地理科学学院,昆明650500 [2]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京00101 [3]中国西南地缘环境与边疆发展协同创新中心,昆明650500 [4]华东师范大学城市与区域科学学院,上海200062 [5]北京师范大学地理学与遥感科学学院,北京100875

出　　处：《地理研究》2017年第2期205-214,共10页Geographical Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41401157;41661033)

摘　　要：未来十年乃至更长时间,世界大国之间最有可能发生实力盛衰,权力转换,世界格局和区域格局发生相应变化,地缘政治研究的重要性将会日益凸显。中国地缘政治学在过去的几十年发展中取得了可喜的成绩,但是仍然处于发展阶段,凝练方向、汇聚合力才是当前中国地缘政治学当务之急。采用文献研究法和专家咨询法,归纳了未来十年中国地缘政治学重点研究的五个方向,即地缘环境解析理论与方法、地缘结构与未来全球地缘环境变化、共建"一带一路"的区域响应与中国面临的地缘环境、和平崛起的中国国家地缘战略和地缘环境大数据集成与服务平台建设,并对每一个重点研究方向阐明了其原因和各研究方向的当前研究现状、未来研究思路。最后对五个重点研究方向之间的内在联系以及国内外地缘政治学发展思路的不足进行了探讨。Rise and fall in strength along with changes in the balance of power are most likely to happen among world powers in the next decade and beyond. Consequently, both world and regional patterns will change accordingly, and the importance of geopolitical researches will become increasingly significant. China＇s geopolitics has obtained satisfying achievements in the past several decades. However, China＇s geopolitics is still now in a developmental stage. A focused direction and unification of force are the top priority of China＇s geopolitics. Literature research methods and expert consulting methods have been adopted in this paper to conclude and summarize five key research directions of China＇s geopolitics. They are geo- setting analysis theory and method, geo- structure and future changes of global geo- setting, regional response to co- construction of ＂One Belt and One Road＂ and geo- setting faced by China,national geo- strategies of a peacefully rising China, and big data integration and service platform construction of a geo- setting. Also, the current research status and future research ideas of each key research direction are demonstrated. Finally, the internal relations among these five key research directions as well as the insufficiencies in development ideas of domestic and foreign geopolitics are discussed.

关 键 词：地缘政治学 地缘环境 “一带一路” 地缘格局 地理学 

分 类 号：K901.4[历史地理—人文地理学]