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机构地区:[1]国家林业局经济发展研究中心,北京100102 [2]中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京100081
出 处:《华中农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年第2期37-44,共8页Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)
基 金:国家自然科学基金项目"应对牧区草场退化的补偿机制研究"(71173221);中国农业科学院科技创新工程"农业资源环境经济与政策项目"(ASTIP-IAED-2015-07)
摘 要:以牧民收入作为主要考察对象,采用分位数回归对甘南牧区的牧户生计状况进行了实证分析。结果表明,农牧交错区与纯牧区牧民收入影响因素存在较大不同。农牧交错区牧民收入在不同分位点上受到家中有无外出务工人员、家中常住人口数量、距离集贸市场的远近、放牧牲畜的数量、有无科技培训、有无加入合作社等因素影响呈现不同。纯牧区牧民收入只受家中常住人口数量的显著影响。总体看来,牧民对补贴和放牧依赖度高,难以转变生计结构,为促进增收需倡导舍饲养殖,转变原有粗放的牧业生产结构,谋划牧业发展新思路。This paper,from the perspective of herdsman's income,makes an empirical study on herdsman's livelihood in Gannan Grassland by quantile regression.The result shows that the influencing factors between agro-pastoral ecotone and pure pastoral ecotone are different differences in income structure and livelihood.Herdsmen who lived in agro-pastoral ecotone were influenced by migrant working,number of family members,distance from the market,livestock numbers,S&T training and collective cooperations.However,in pure pastoral area,income of herdsmen is only influenced by the permanent number of family members.In general,herdsmen are highly depending on subsidy and grazing styles,which is hard to change the structure of livelihood.Therefore,this paper proposes several ways on how to increase their income,such as animal drylot feeding,transformation of former extensive animal husbandry production structure and pursuit of new ways in planning husbandry development.
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