基于AHP-模糊综合评价法的山区丘陵公路灾害易损性研究——以河南省修武县为例  

Research of Highway Disaster Vulnerability Based on AHP-Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method:A Case Study of Xiuwu County in Henan Province

作　　者：刘洋洋[1] 李永强[1] 李有鹏[1] 杨清科 

机构地区：[1]河南理工大学测绘与国土信息工程学院,河南焦作454003

出　　处：《灾害学》2017年第2期32-38,共7页Journal of Catastrophology

基　　金：国家"十二五"科技支撑项目(2012BAH34B00);国家自然科学基金项目(41501491);国家测绘局测绘地理信息公益性行业科研专项项目(201412020)

摘　　要：以河南省修武县某山区丘陵公路为例,结合当地实际情况,先从社会因素、道路因素、防治因素三大方面进行考量考察,选取经济密度、人口密度、公路等级等8个因子为参评因子,建立公路灾害易损性评估层次结构模型,再采用AHP-模糊综合评价法实现公路灾害易损性的定量和定性综合评估,并提出相应的防治建议。研究结果表明,研究区公路灾害易损性极大,需进行重点防范;该研究评估方法与专家现场定性分析法取得的结果基本一致,体现出了较高的准确性和适用性,可为后续的山区丘陵公路防灾减灾工作提供一定的参考作用。Taking hilly and mountainous area highway of Xiuwu County in Henan Province as an example, combined with local actual situation, we investigate from three aspects as social factors, road factors and control factors, and selecting economic density, population density, road grade selection etc. eight factor as the evaluating factors, establishing the highway disaster vulnerability hierarchy assessment model, achieve the highway disaster vulnerability quantitative and qualitative evaluation by using AHP-fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, finally, according to the evaluation results, we put forward the corresponding suggestions on prevention and control. Re- search results show that the regional highway disaster vulnerability is great, need to focus on prevention; the results obtained in this paper are basically consistent with the results obtained by the experts in the field of qualitative anal- ysis, reflecting the higher accuracy and practicality, and then has also provide some reference value to the subse- quent risk research of highway in mountainous and hilly.

关 键 词：河南修武 山区丘陵 公路灾害 易损性评估 AHP-模糊综合评价法 防灾减灾 

分 类 号：X43[环境科学与工程—灾害防治]