出 处:《中国实验血液学杂志》2017年第2期431-437,共7页Journal of Experimental Hematology
基 金:国家自然科学基金资助项目(81041002);北京市科委首都临床特色应用研究专项资助课题(Z141107002514017)
摘 要:目的:探究中期^(18)F-FDG PET/CT(i-PET/CT)显像对弥漫大B细胞淋巴瘤(DLBCL)患者预后判断价值。方法:回顾分析我院70例初治DLBCL患者的158次^(18)F-FDG PET/CT结果,分别采用5分法、Lugano分类和最大标准摄取值减少率(△SUVmax)法评价i-PET/CT。利用受试者操作特性(ROC)曲线确定△SUVmax最佳界值。应用无进展生存(PFS)时间及总生存(OS)时间作为随访指标。运用Kaplan-Meier方法和Cox回归模型进行生存分析。结果:经ROC曲线计算△SUVmax最佳界值点为62%。5分法诊断2年PFS和OS阳性预测值(PPV)低,Lugano分类和△SUVmax法均可提高PPV,但采用Lugano分类敏感度下降。Kaplan-Meier生存曲线分析显示,Lugano分类和△SUVmax法可预测PFS和OS时间,而5分法仅可预测OS时间。COX回归单因素分析示,国际预后指数(IPI)评分对PFS预测仅优于5分法,对OS预测则逊于三者。COX回归多因素分析显示,△SUVmax法是判断预后的独立危险因素,采用Lugano分类仅对OS有独立预后价值。结论:5分法评价i-PET/CT对于DLBCL患者判断预后价值有限,建议结合Lugano分类标准。采用△SUVmax法评价i-PET/CT对DLBCL患者具有独立预后价值,优于IPI评分。Objective: To explore the prognostic value of interim ^18F-FDG PET/CT (i-PET/CT) scan for the patients with newly diagnosed diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Methods: A total of 70 cases of initially diagnosed of DLBCL by 158 ^18F-FDG PET/CT scans in our hospital were retrospectively analyzed. The 5 -point scale, the Lugano classification and maximum standardized uptake value induction ( A SUVmax) criteria were used respectively to assess i-PET/CT scans. Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) analysis was used to determine an optimal cutoff for △SUVmax. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) times were estimated as prognostic indicators using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression. Results: Optimal cutoff to predict progression or death was 62% for △SUVmax. The positive predictive value (PPV) for 2 -year PFS and OS of i-PET/CT diagnosed by 5 - point scale was low, and could be improved by using the Lugano classification with decreased sensitivity or A SUVmax criteria. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that the Lugano classification and △SUVmax were good predictors for PFS and OS, respectively, while the 5 - point scale could only predict OS. Cox regression univariate analysis showed that the International Prognostic Index (IPI) score was better to predict PFS than 5 -point scale, but worse than the three assessments in predicting OS. COX regression multivariate analysis showed that ASUVmax 〈 62% was an independent risk factor of prognosis, while the Lugano classification was only the OS independent prognostic predictor. Conclusion: Assessing i-PET/CT by 5 -point scale is a limited value for predicting PFS and OS in DLBCL patients. The Lugano classification is recommended to discriminate the patients with poorer outcomes. The △SUVmax criteria for i-PET/CT of DLBCL patients is an independent prognostic predictor for PFS and OS, better than the IPI score.
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