基于蒙特卡洛法的建筑施工落物风险分析及控制研究  

Research on Risk Analysis and Control of Construction Falling Accidents Based on MC

作　　者：徐青[1] 何华刚[1] 魏可可[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学工程学院,武汉430074

出　　处：《工业安全与环保》2017年第4期23-25,共3页Industrial Safety and Environmental Protection

摘　　要：提出了一种基于蒙特卡洛方法的事故模拟研究。通过模拟一个建筑行业常见的场景,估算落物事故的概率,并且通过加入指示标示这一简单的物体,利用蒙特卡洛方法计算事故概率,对比来研究安全标示对于落物事故的影响。仿真结果表明此算法能够比较精确地估计建筑行业关于落物风险的发生概率,对各事故的机理研究以及其他一些重大事故的研究提供参考。This paper presents a simulation of the accident based on Monte Carlo method. A commonly seen scenario in construction industry is simulated to estimate the happening probability of the failing accident, by the addition of signs, the Monte Carlo method is used to calculate the probability of accidents and it is compared to study the impact of the safety la- beling on the falling. The simulation results show that the algorithm can more accurately estimate the probability of falling accidents in the construction industry, which can provide references for the study of the mechanisms of each accident, as well as for some major accidents.

关 键 词：蒙特卡洛法 建筑行业 指示标示 落物事故 

分 类 号：TU714[建筑科学—建筑技术科学]