福利性财政支出对城乡居民消费差距的影响  

Influence of Fiscal Welfare Expenditure on the Consumption Gap Between Urban and Rural Residents

作　　者：刘吕吉[1] 申经宇 

机构地区：[1]西南政法大学经济学院,重庆401120

出　　处：《首都经济贸易大学学报》2017年第3期13-20,共8页Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business

摘　　要：基于1998—2014年31个省(直辖市、自治区)的省级面板数据,借助动态高斯混合模型,可实证考察福利性财政支出对城乡居民消费差距的影响。研究表明:医疗卫生支出对城乡居民消费差距的影响效果最大,社会保障的影响效果次之,教育支出的影响效果最小。其中,医疗卫生支出与城乡居民消费差距正相关,而教育支出和社会保障支出与城乡居民消费差距负相关。政府应从供给侧角度完善福利性财政支出结构,变城市偏向为城乡均等协调发展,从而相对提升农村需求侧消费水平,同时,引导优化消费需求结构。Based on 31 provinces （municipalities and autonomous regions） panel data from 1998 to 2014, this paper uses a dynamic GMM to make an empirical study on the influence of fiscal welfare expenditure on the con- sumption gap between urban and rural residents. The results show that：the influence of health care expenditure on the consumption gap is the largest, followed by social security, and education the least. Health care expenditure and the gap have a positive correlation,while expenditures on education and social security have a negative influence on the gap. The government should improve the supply-side perspective of the fiscal expenditure structure of welfare, and change ＂urban bias＂ for the coordinated development of urban and rural equalization, so as to promote rural ar- eas＇ demand-side consumption level, guidance and optimize the structure of consumer demand at the same time.

关 键 词：福利性财政支出 城乡居民消费差距 GMM 

分 类 号：F126.1[经济管理—世界经济]