气象要素对阑尾炎急诊就诊人数的影响  

Effect of meteorological factors on the number of emergency patients with appendicitis

作　　者：尹春宇 李金斌 陈真 王雅洁[4] 谭玉龙[5] 蒋艳峰[6] 王丽萍[7] 王式功[5] Yin Chunyu Li Jinbin Chen Zhen et al(First Clinical College of Chongqing Medical University,Chongqing 400016, China)

机构地区：[1]重庆医科大学第一临床学院,重庆400016 [2]国家人口与健康科学数据共享平台地方服务中心 [3]空军司令部门诊保健科 [4]海南医学院 [5]成都信息工程大学大气科学学院 [6]复旦大学生命科学学院 [7]解放军医学院空军航空医学研究所附属医院

出　　处：《中华保健医学杂志》2017年第2期135-138,共4页Chinese Journal of Health Care and Medicine

基　　金：国家科技基础条件平台项目(NCMI-ACL01-201606);国家科技支撑计划项目(2012BAJ18B08)

摘　　要：目的探讨北京市气象要素变化对阑尾炎急诊就诊人数的影响。方法收集2009~2011年北京市4家三级甲等医院阑尾炎患者急诊资料和同期北京市气象、大气污染物资料,分析阑尾炎发病的人群和时间分布及其与主要气象要素的关联性,并采用多元逐步回归方法建立气象条件变化下阑尾炎日急诊就诊人数的回归方程。结果 4家医院3年阑尾炎急诊日平均就诊人数为8例,夏季高发(以7、8月份人数最多);阑尾炎急诊日就诊人数与平均气温、最低气温、最高气温呈正相关,与平均气压、SO_2浓度和NO_2浓度呈负相关。结论气象因素中,气温是影响北京地区阑尾炎急诊就诊人数的主要因素。Objective To investigate the effect of meteorological factors on the number of emergency patients with appendicitis in Beijing. Methods Medical data were collected from four general hospitals in Beijing from 2009 to 2011;meteorological and atmospheric pollutant data were also collected from public databases. According to the correlations between meteorological,pollution factors and patient numbers,a stepwise multiple regression equation was adopted to analyze the number of appendicitis emergency patients in terms of meteorological trends. Results During three years in these four hospitals, the daily average number of emergency appendicitis patients was 8,with a maximum in summer （July and August）. The results demonstrate that the number of emergency patients with appendicitis is positively correlated with average temperature ,minimum temperature and maximum temperature and is negatively correlated with average pressure and concentrations of sulfur dioxide and nitrogen dioxide. Conclusion Air temperature is the main meteorological factor affecting the number of emergency visits of patients with appendicitis in Beijing.

关 键 词：阑尾炎 气象要素 急诊 疾病预测 

分 类 号：R122[医药卫生—环境卫生学]