Premature Deindustrialisation in the Developing World  

作　　者：Dani Rodrik 

机构地区：[1]Ford Foundation Professor of International Political Economy, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA [2] and CEPR Research Fellow

出　　处：《Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities》2017年第1期1-6,共6页中国高等学校学术文摘·经济学（英文版）

摘　　要：As developed economies have substituted away from manufacturing towards services, so too have developing countries--to an even greater extent. Such sectoral change may be premature for economies that never fully industrialised in the first place. This article presents evidence that countries with smaller manufacturing sectors substitute away from manufacturing to a larger extent, suggesting a trade channel through which falling international relative prices of manufacturing lead price-taking developing economies to substitute accordingly.As developed economies have substituted away from manufacturing towards services, so too have developing countries--to an even greater extent. Such sectoral change may be premature for economies that never fully industrialised in the first place. This article presents evidence that countries with smaller manufacturing sectors substitute away from manufacturing to a larger extent, suggesting a trade channel through which falling international relative prices of manufacturing lead price-taking developing economies to substitute accordingly.

关 键 词：DEINDUSTRIALIZATION developing countries TRADE globalisaton 

分 类 号：O14[理学—数学] O19[理学—基础数学]