工业集聚、城镇化与环境污染——基于非线性门槛效应的实证研究  

Industrial Agglomeration, Urbanization and Environmental Pollution——An Empirical Analysis Based on Nonlinear Threshold Effect

作　　者：王素凤[1] Pascale Champagne 潘和平[1] 冯南平[3] 王洪波[3] WANG Sufeng PASCALE Champagne PAN Heping FENG Nanping WANG Hongbo(School of Management, Anhui Jianzhu University, Hefei 230601, China Department of Civil Engineering of Queen＇ s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada K7L 3N6 School of Management, Hefei Technology of University, Hefei 230009, China)

机构地区：[1]安徽建筑大学管理学院,合肥安徽230601 [2]加拿大女王大学土木工程学院 [3]合肥工业大学管理学院,合肥安徽230009

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2017年第11期217-223,共7页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"节能减排政策对我国高耗能产业跨区域转移的影响研究"(41401126);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"城镇生态承载与产业集聚的作用机制与协同路径研究"(15YJA790060);高校优秀青年骨干人才国外访学研修重点项目"新型城镇化背景下生态承载与产业集聚的协同机制研究"(gxfxZD2016130);安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目"考虑生态约束的安徽制造业结构优化研究"(AHSKY2016D95);安徽省教育厅人文社会科学重点项目"基于集聚与扩散效应的安徽省战略性新兴产业与区域经济协调发展研究"(SK2016A023)

摘　　要：利用中国30个省级行政区2000—2014年的面板数据,运用门槛回归方法,以工业集聚为门槛变量,实证分析工业集聚及其与城镇化的耦合效应对污染排放的影响,并将样本总体划分为东部、中部、西部和东北4组检验工业集聚环境外部性的区域差异。研究结果表明:工业集聚与环境污染的关系呈倒U型特征;工业集聚通过推动经济发展减少污染物排放;工业集聚与城镇化的良性互动显著降低了环境污染水平;城镇化对工业集聚环境污染效应的门槛位置有重要影响,在四类地区中,城镇化水平较高的东部省份的门槛值明显低于其它地区。Using the panel data of China＇ s 30 provinces during 2000 to 2014 and the threshold regression method with industrial agglomeration treated as a threshold variable, this paper empirically analyzes the effects of industrial agglomeration, the coupling effect of industrial agglomeration and urbanization on pollution emissions, and then separates the sampling population into four groups, i.e., eastern, central, western and northeast China to examine whether there exists regional disparity on environmental externality of industrial agglomeration. The results show that： （ 1 ） the relationship between agglomeration and pollution is inverted U shaped; （ 2 ） agglomeration can reduce pollution emissions through the promotion of economic development; （ 3 ） the benign interactions between agglomeration and urbanization significantly cut down environmental pollution; （ 4 ） urbanization plays an important role in determining the threshold value of pollution effect of agglomeration, verified by the fact that eastern China has the highest urbanization level and the lowest threshold value among four groups.

关 键 词：工业集聚 环境污染 门槛模型 城镇化 区域差异 

分 类 号：F299.21[经济管理—国民经济] F424.1[环境科学与工程—环境科学] X22