洪水谣言与两汉之际的“汉家更受命”说  

Flood Rumors and Theories about "Dynastic Succession of Han" in the Period between the Two Han Dynasties

作　　者：李传军[1] 

机构地区：[1]青岛大学师范学院,山东青岛266071

出　　处：《东方论坛（青岛大学学报）》2017年第3期12-18,共7页Eastern Forum（JOURNAL OF QINGDAO UNIVERSITY）

基　　金：山东省社会科学规划研究项目"中国古代的社会谣言与社会管理"(16CSHJ02)

摘　　要：洪灾是对人类生活影响巨大的自然灾害,由于其具有骤发性的特点,在中国古代难以预测和防控,极易造成社会的恐慌,伴生洪水谣言。汉代的洪水谣言,既是上古洪水传说主题的延续和再现,更是水灾对民众身心伤害的现实投射,许多谣言背后还有政治家的舆论引导和操控,在思想上还糅合了五德终始说和原始道教"汉家当更受命"政治预言的文化成份,是生态灾害、政治变局、社会动荡与民众信仰互动的产物。Flood is a kind of natural disasters that could deeply affect human life. It often happened suddenly and could not be forecasted or prevented or controlled in ancient China, thus giving rise to flood rumors and causing social panic. Flood rumors in Han Dynasty were the continuation and reproduction of flood legends in ancient times. What＇s more, it is also the realistic projection of flood＇s physical and psychological harm to the public. Behind many rumors, there were politicians＇ guidance and manipulation on public opinions. In terms of ideology, there were cultural elements about the theory of five cyclic virtues （referring to historical changes and rise and fall of a dynasty） and political predictions on ＂dynastic succession of Han＂ of the primitive Taoism. It is the product of the interaction between ecological disasters, political upheavals, and social instability and popular believes.

关 键 词：洪水灾害 社会谣言 两汉时期 民众信仰 

分 类 号：K234[历史地理—历史学]