面向企业碳资产管理策略的多主体建模、仿真与异质性分析  

Multi-Agent-Based Modelling,Simulation and Heterogeneity Analysis of the Management Strategies for Enterprise Carbon Assets

作　　者：曾尹 李树良[1,3] 范莉莉[1] 邓亮如 

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学经济管理学院,四川成都610031 [2]成都云数环能科技有限公司,四川成都610041 [3]威斯敏斯特大学商学院

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2017年第7期87-96,共10页Forum on Science and Technology in China

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"碳无形资产视角下的企业低碳竞争力系统评价研究"(71271177);四川省社会科学重点研究基地系统科学与企业发展研究中心规划项目"企业低碳发展系统模拟研究"(Xq16B02)

摘　　要：本文从企业业务的视角以三个典型企业为例证识别碳资产,提炼出碳资产的交互框架,量化描述各碳资产模块的价值贡献原理,设置碳资产的仿真策略,然后建立ABMS(Agent-Based Modelling&Simulation)模型对碳资产演化的差异情况进行仿真分析。结果显示,三个企业的碳资产具有涌现性,低碳技术(低碳产品)和低碳品牌的演化路径具有显著的异质性,而且是导致其他碳资产发展演化和调整策略的关键因素。基于此,本文为企业的碳资产管理提出了有针对性的建议。The paper used three typical enterprises as examples to identify carbon assets from the perspective of enterprise business con- texts, and to extract the interactive framework. It made quantitative description of the value contribution principle of each carbon asset module and set up the simulation strategies for relevant carbon assets. On the basis of these, an Agent-Based Modelling＆ Simulation （ABMS） system was created and built to simulate and analyse the difference in the evolution of carbon assets. The results demonstrated the emergent properties of enterprise carbon assets. The simulation study also showed remarkable heterogeneity of evolution paths with low-carbon technologies and low-carbon brands, which were the key factors leading to the evolution of other carbon assets and the ad- justment of strategies. Finally, recommendations were made to improve the management of enterprises carbon assets.

关 键 词：碳资产 管理策略 多主体 仿真 异质性 

分 类 号：F273.4[经济管理—企业管理] N945.13[经济管理—国民经济]