Performance of CH4MOD_(wetland) for the case study of different regions of natural Chinese wetland  

作　　者：Tingting Li Qing Zhang Zhigang Cheng Guocheng Wang Lijun Yu Wen Zhang 

机构地区：[1]LAPC,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences [2]School of Atmospheric Sciences,Chengdu University of Information Technology

出　　处：《Journal of Environmental Sciences》2017年第7期356-369,共14页环境科学学报（英文版）

基　　金：supported by the Chinese Academy of Sciences(CAS) strategic pilot technology special funds(No.XDA05020204);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.31000234,41321064 and 41573069);the Climate Change Special Foundation of China Meteorological Administration(No.CCSF201604)

摘　　要：Reliable national estimates of CH_4 emissions from natural wetlands depend on model validation based on site observations.We therefore evaluated the performance of the CH_4 MODwetlandmodel in simulating CH_4 emissions from 11 representative wetland sites in five regions of China.Model performance analysis showed that this method effectively simulates differences in the CH_4 fluxes between different sites and regions.The model efficiency for estimating the daily CH_4 fluxes in the northeastern China（NE）,Inner Mongolia and northwestern China（NW）,the North China plain and the Middle-Lower Yangtze Plain（E） and the Qinghai Tibetan Plateau（SW） was 0.51,0.20,0.52 and 0.65,respectively.The efficiency for estimating the annual mean CH_4 fluxes in southern China（S） was 0.99.Systematic negative deviation between the simulated and observed CH_4 emissions existed in all regions,especially in the NW region,which had a mean deviation（RMD） value of-36.7%.On the national scale,the root mean square error（RMSE）,the RMD,the model efficiency（EF）between the simulated and observed seasonal values were 28.7%,-7.8% and 0.93,respectively.The CH_4 emissions showed the highest sensitivity to air temperature in the NE and SW regions,and to water table depth in the E region.Based on the sensitivity analysis,future climate warming and wetting are likely to increase the wetland CH_4 emissions at different levels in all regions of China.Reliable national estimates of CH_4 emissions from natural wetlands depend on model validation based on site observations.We therefore evaluated the performance of the CH_4 MODwetlandmodel in simulating CH_4 emissions from 11 representative wetland sites in five regions of China.Model performance analysis showed that this method effectively simulates differences in the CH_4 fluxes between different sites and regions.The model efficiency for estimating the daily CH_4 fluxes in the northeastern China（NE）,Inner Mongolia and northwestern China（NW）,the North China plain and the Middle-Lower Yangtze Plain（E） and the Qinghai Tibetan Plateau（SW） was 0.51,0.20,0.52 and 0.65,respectively.The efficiency for estimating the annual mean CH_4 fluxes in southern China（S） was 0.99.Systematic negative deviation between the simulated and observed CH_4 emissions existed in all regions,especially in the NW region,which had a mean deviation（RMD） value of-36.7%.On the national scale,the root mean square error（RMSE）,the RMD,the model efficiency（EF）between the simulated and observed seasonal values were 28.7%,-7.8% and 0.93,respectively.The CH_4 emissions showed the highest sensitivity to air temperature in the NE and SW regions,and to water table depth in the E region.Based on the sensitivity analysis,future climate warming and wetting are likely to increase the wetland CH_4 emissions at different levels in all regions of China.

关 键 词：CH4MOD_（wetland） Model performance China Natural wetland 

分 类 号：X171[环境科学与工程—环境科学]