城市居民出行方式与休闲地点联合选择模型——以邯郸市为例  

Travel Mode and Leisure Place Combined Choice Model for Urban Travelers——A Case Study of Handan City

作　　者：杨万凯 王振报[2] 吴明健 王琳[3] 

机构地区：[1]山东东泰工程咨询有限公司,淄博256400 [2]河北工程大学建筑与艺术学院,邯郸056038 [3]北京工业大学城市交通学院,北京100124

出　　处：《交通工程》2017年第4期13-19,共7页Journal of Transportation Engineering

基　　金：河北省自然科学基金(E2014402003);河北工程大学青年骨干项目

摘　　要：针对邯郸市商业圈及其相关交通规划工作,根据邯郸市居民对于市区4个主要休闲地点选择和出行方式选择的意愿调查,利用NL模型建立休闲地点和出行方式的联合选择模型,对影响出行者选择4个休闲地点的出行方式的显著性因素进行比较分析.并针对公交车和公共自行车出行方式及4个休闲地点选择进行弹性分析,得到不同影响因素对公交车和公共自行车分担率及4个休闲地点的选择概率的影响程度,其结论可为邯郸市相关部门进行购物地点附近设施管理、道路规划、公交规划、公共自行车规划及相关政策制定提供依据.In view of the Handan city commercial circle and related transportation planning initiatives,according to a survey of residents in Handan city for four main leisure places choices and travel mode choices,we use the NL model to create a leisure place and travel mode joint selection model,and comparatively analyze their significant factors. And according to the elastic analysis of buses and public bicycle as well as four leisure places,we get the significant factors＇ influence magnitude in these two travel modes＇ partake ratios and four leisure places＇ selective probabilities. The conclusion can provide the basis of four leisure places＇ facilities planning and management,road planning and public transit planning,public bicycle planning and related policy for the relevant departments of Handan City.

关 键 词：交通规划 休闲地点 出行方式 NL模型 弹性分析 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]