山地城市交通事故伤亡情况与违法驾驶行为相关性分析  

A Correlation Analysis between Traffic Crash Occurrence and Driving Violations in a Mountainous City

作　　者：杨成龙[1] 简晓春[1] 蒋志全[2] 段伟建[2] 唐军[2] 

机构地区：[1]重庆交通大学,重庆400074 [2]重庆市公安局交通管理局,重庆400000

出　　处：《交通工程》2017年第4期61-64,共4页Journal of Transportation Engineering

基　　金：汽车噪声振动和安全技术国家重点实验室开放基金(NVHSKL201406)资助

摘　　要：山地城市道路具有宽度窄、弯坡比例大、交叉口多、绕行距离长的特点,经常会出现违法掉头、超车等驾驶行为,造成交通事故,然而在事故伤亡情况与违法驾驶行为的相关性方面仍缺乏相关研究.本文基于对某山地城市道路状况特点的分析,对2010—2013年典型交通事故进行分类统计研究,得出了该城市主要违法驾驶行为.基于灰色关联分析理论,研究了事故受伤、死亡人数与各违法驾驶行为的相关性,确定了影响事故受伤、死亡人数的优势因素.同时也为更有针对性地管理山地城市交通安全及整治违法驾驶行为提供了坚实的理论与数据支撑.mThe characteristics of roads in a mountainous city,such as narrow lanes,numerous curves and slopes,high intersection density,long detour distance,easily caused crashes due to illegal U-turns and illegal overtaking. There is little research on correlation between crash occurrence and driving violations.Be based on research of roadway design features in a mountainous city and typical crashes,the main driving violations to traffic crashes were found to be one of the major contributors. This paper further researched on correlation of injuries and fatalities to driving violations,and correctly identified the main contributing factors to injuries and fatalities with the help of the gray correlation theory. Furthermore,the research also provided a solid theory and data support to more targeted traffic security arrangements and driving violations control.

关 键 词：山地城市 违法驾驶 交通事故伤亡 灰色关联理论 优势因素 

分 类 号：U491.31[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]