政策驱动与大气环境污染:基于区域面板数据的分析  

The Empirical Analysis of Policy Impact on the Atmospheric Environmental Quality and Economic Growth Relationship: Based on the Model of the EKC and Chow

作　　者：周璇[1] 郭丕斌 黎斌林[3] 谢秀亮[4] 

机构地区：[1]中北大学经济与管理学院,山西太原030051 [2]太原师范学院经济系,山西晋中030619 [3]云南农业大学经济与管理学院,云南昆明650100 [4]山西财贸职业技术学院,山西太原030031

出　　处：《生态经济》2017年第10期174-178,220,共6页Ecological Economy

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目"能源技术创新视角的煤炭资源型经济转型研究"(11YJA630025);山西省科技厅软科学研究计划项目"山西省经济发展与环境保护耦合政策措施研究--以科技政策为例"(2015041018-1);山西省回国留学人员科研资助项目"山西资源型经济转型评价"(2015-097);山西省教育科学"十二五"规划课题"多媒体CAI课件在高校文科教学中的优化与评价指标体系设计研究"(GH-14012)

摘　　要：为了探究我国各区域经济发展与环境污染之间的关系,对大气污染物排放量与人均实际GDP的面板数据进行了环境库兹涅茨曲线拟合,结果发现我国只有部分省份符合EKC特点,且曲线形状、EKC拐点和未来变化趋势因地而异。总体来说,全国水平与EKC特点吻合,东部地区单调递减,中西部地区则为倒"N"型,因此以二氧化硫与烟粉尘为污染物代表的大气环境质量总体在好转,这主要得益于我国一系列环境政策的颁布与执行,Chow断点检验从实证的角度证明了这一点。The atmospheric pollutant emissions and per-capital GDP have been fitted with Kuznets curve for purpose of exploration on the relationship between the regional economic development and environmental pollution, It was found that only some provinces and cities in our country is in line with the characteristics of EKC, and curve shape, EKC turning point and the future tendency varies from place to place. In general, the national level is consistent with the characteristics of EKC, the eastern region is monotone decreasing, the central region and western region is ＂N＂, so with sulfur dioxide and smoke dust as pollutants of atmosphere environment quality is getting better, thanks to our country＇s environmental policy and implementation, Chow breakpoint test also proved this point.

关 键 词：EKC CHOW检验 经济增长 环境污染 

分 类 号：X24[环境科学与工程—环境科学] X51