初中后教育选择意愿及影响因素研究——普高、中职还是不再读书?  

A Study on the Intention and Influencing Factors of Senior Secondary Education Choice——Senior High School,Secondary Vocational School or No Longer Reading?

作　　者：苏丽锋 孙志军[2] 李振宇[2] 

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学教育与开放经济研究中心,北京100029 [2]北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院,北京100875

出　　处：《华中师范大学学报（人文社会科学版）》2017年第5期146-157,共12页Journal of Central China Normal University:Humanities and Social Sciences

摘　　要：普及高中阶段教育是我国"十三五"时期教育发展的重要任务。能否实现这一目标,与学生个体的初中后教育选择密切相关。本文依据初中后教育选择意愿的微观调查数据,在揭示初中毕业生教育选择意愿的基础上,进一步利用mlogit模型,具体分析了影响教育选择意愿的个体、家庭及学校因素。结果发现:接受普通高中教育是初中毕业生的首要选择,重点高中和普通高中的吸引力强于中等职业学校。男女生之间的教育选择存在明显差异,女生接受教育的意愿比男生更强烈,男生放弃读书的比例高于女生,重点高中对男生的影响大于女生,男生中存在明显的两极分化现象。民族、年龄、学习成绩会显著影响到初中学生的教育选择。子女的教育选择更多依据其父亲的态度做出决定。父亲的受教育年限越高,其子女的教育意愿也越强烈。初中学校的办学硬件条件对提高学生教育选择意愿具有积极影响。Studentsindividual education choice is closely related to popularize the education of senior high school.This paper based on the research on the micro survey data of the junior high school students willingness to choose the education,finds that the first choice of the junior high school graduates is to accept the general senior high school education.There is a significant difference between male and female.The higher the fathers education level,the higher the education will of their children.Nationality,age,achievement performance will significantly affect the junior high school studentseducation choice.The education choices are more based on their fathers attitude.The hardware condition of the junior high school has a positive effect on improving the studentschoice of education.

关 键 词：普及高中阶段教育 初中后教育选择 微观调查 mlogit模型 

分 类 号：G639.2[文化科学—教育学]