《大趋势》的信息化预言及对我国图书馆事业现代化影响研究  

A Study of the Impact of Megatrends's Information Prediction to the Modernization of Librarianship in China

作　　者：范兴坤[1] Fan Xingkun(Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510006, China)

机构地区：[1]广东药科大学,广州510006

出　　处：《高校图书馆工作》2017年第5期9-15,共7页Library Work in Colleges and Universities

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"基于我国文化发展新战略的公共图书馆政策建设研究"(项目编号:12BTQ002)研究成果之一

摘　　要：上世纪80年代初,以美国未来学家约翰·奈斯比特所著《大趋势》为代表的多种未来学著作传入,直接促使我国从新科技革命和信息化的高度展望未来并制订现代化发展规划。通过对《大趋势》一书中的信息化描述重做归类解读,认为它引领了我国信息业的发展,引导了我国图书馆学理论研究向信息化方向的探索,使学科理论体系得到完善,也加快了我国图书馆事业的现代化建设。参考文献20。At the beginning of 1980 s,a variety of futurology works are represented by Megatrends of American futurist John Naisbitt were introduced to China that directly led us to look ahead and formulate modern development plans from the perspective of new science and technology revolution and information technology. This paper redoes classification of the information description and realizes that Megatrends prompts the pace of the information industry of China to catch up with the world＇s advanced level,guides the exploration of Chinese Library Science from theory research to the direction of information and perfects the theoretical system,also speeds up the modernization construction of the library in our country. 20 refs.

关 键 词：未来学 《大趋势》 约翰·奈斯比特 中国图书馆事业 

分 类 号：G250[文化科学—图书馆学]