我国台湾地区卫生人力资源现状及预测分析  

The Status and Forecast of Health Human Resources in Taiwan

作　　者：龚韩湘 吴泽墉 伍宝玲 张雅兰[1] 陈爱云[1] 罗桢妮[1] 

机构地区：[1]广州医科大学卫生管理学院,广东广州511436 [2]南方医科大学第五附属医院

出　　处：《中国卫生事业管理》2017年第12期905-908,共4页Chinese Health Service Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目"系统协同视域下我国公立医疗集团协同能力研究与协同机制构建"(编号:71503057)

摘　　要：目的:分析台湾地区卫生人力资源现状,并预测2016~2025年卫生人力资源数量。方法:对台湾地区卫生人力资源现状进行描述性统计分析,运用灰色数列GM(1,1)模型进行预测分析。结果:截至2015年底,台湾地区拥有各类卫生技术人员280 508人;台湾地区各类卫生人力资源增长率高于人口增长率;台湾地区县域和区域卫生人力资源配置较不均衡;到2025年台湾地区每万人拥有卫生技术人员、西医师、中医师、牙医师、药师及药剂师、检验师、护理师及护士分别是173.58、24.09、3.68、7.44、19.03、5.37、94.41人;台湾地区每万人拥有卫生技术人员数远高于大陆地区。结论:未来台湾地区卫生人力资源供给量进一步增加,对大陆地区卫生人力资源合理配置有一定参考意义。Objective To analyze the status of health human resources in Taiwan, and to forecast the quantity in 2016 - 2025. Methods Descriptive statistical analysis method and the grey series GM （1,1） model were used. Result By the end of 2015, Tai- wan has a variety of health technical personnel about 280508 people. All kinds of human resources for health growth rates are higher than the population growth rate ; and county and regional health human resources allocation is unreasonable. By 2025, ever- y 10,000 people in Taiwan had health technicians, physician, Chinese medicine practitioners, dentists, pharmacists and pharma- cists, examiners, nurses were 173.58, 24.09, 3.68, 7.44, 19.03, 5.37 and 94.41 respectively. Taiwan＇ s per million people have more than the number of health technical personnel than the mainland. Conclusion The future Taiwan health human resources supply will increase further, reasonable allocation of human resources for health to mainland have certain reference significance.

关 键 词：台湾地区 卫生人力资源 现状 预测 

分 类 号：R197.1[医药卫生—卫生事业管理]