产业结构升级与贸易开放动态响应的区域异质性——基于2000～2013年省级面板数据的PVAR分析  

Regional Heterogeneity of Dynamic Responses between Industrial Structure Upgrading and Trade Openness——Based on PVAR Analysis of Provincial Panel Data from 2000 to 2013

作　　者：石峰[1,2] 吴振顺[1] 余博[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南工程学院管理学院,湖南湘潭411104 [2]湖南大学工商管理博士后流动站,长沙410082

出　　处：《软科学》2018年第1期16-20,共5页Soft Science

基　　金：湖南省重点学科建设项目(湘教发[2011]76号);湖南省社会科学基金项目(15YBB025);湖南省社会科学成果评审委员会一般项目(GLX186)

摘　　要：运用2000~2013年我国省级面板数据和面板向量自回归模型,实证分析产业结构升级与贸易开放的双向动态影响关系。研究发现：贸易开放对产业结构升级影响的累积效应呈现出西部、中部、东部、东北地区和全国依次递减的差序格局,且在东、中、西部和东北地区都为正向效应。从产业结构升级对贸易开放影响的累积效应绝对值看,则呈现出“东北地区〉东部〉全国〉西部〉中部”的空间格局,东北地区和东部为负向效应;全国、西部和东北地区为正向效应。This paper empirically analyzes the dynamic relationship between the upgrading of industrial structure and trade openness based on provincial panel data from 2000 to 2013 by Panel VAR. Resuh shows that, the cumulative effect of trade openness on the upgrading of the industrial structure presents a decreasing order pattern in the western, central, eastern, northeastern and national regions, with positive effects in the eastern, central, western and northeastern regions. From the absolute value of cumulative effects of industrial structure upgrading on trade openness, it shows a spatial pattern of ＂north- eastern region 〉 eastern region 〉 whole country 〉 western region 〉 central region＂, and northeastern and the eastern re- gions have negative effects, while nationwide, western and central regions have positive effects.

关 键 词：产业结构 贸易开放 区域异质性 PVAR模型 

分 类 号：F270.3[经济管理—企业管理]