基于期望值参考点的多准则决策方法  

Multi-criteria Group Decision-making Approach Based on Expectation Value of Reference Point

作　　者：熊焰[1] 李治东[1] 方曦[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海应用技术学院经济管理学院,上海200235

出　　处：《系统工程》2017年第9期154-158,共5页Systems Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71673190);教育部人文社科基金资助项目(12yjc630044)

摘　　要：参考点是基于前景理论的多准则决策模型设计的核心环节。期望值参考点大部分人为设定,影响了其应用效果,论文拟通过比较现有参考点的优点和缺点,着力构建群体决策期望值参考点确定模型。首先将各个决策者作为自然状态元素,以方案在各个准则下综合前景值最大为目标,建立期望值参考点设计的优化模型;其次,重点讨论了解的约束条件和求解算法,并给出了具体的步骤;最后通过算例说明了方法的可行性和有效性。The reference point is the core of the design of multi criteria decision model based on the prospect theory. Most of the reference points are set up artificially, which affects their application effect. By comparing the advantages and disadvantages of the existing reference points, we will strive to establish the reference point of group decision making to determine the model. The decision-maker is depicted as natural condition, and the optimal model of expectation value reference point is designed with the maximal comprehensive prospect value of each alternative under individual criteria, the constraint condition and solution algorithm are discussed, and the specific steps are also given. Finalty, numerical example illustrates the feasibility and effectiveness of the method.

关 键 词：多准则群决策 前景理论 期望值参考点 非线性模型 

分 类 号：C934[经济管理—管理学]