基于风险偏好的PPP项目风险分担博弈优化模型  

Risk Sharing Game Optimization Model of PPP Projects Based on Risk Preferences

作　　者：汪雯娟 彭翔 王波 邱实[2] WANG Wenjuan1, PENG Xiang2, WANG Bo3, QIU Shi2(1.Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, China; 2.Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China; 3. CR17BG Construction Engineering Co., Ltd, Taiyuan 030006, Chin)

机构地区：[1]首都经济贸易大学,北京100070 [2]北京工业大学,北京100124 [3]中铁十七局集团公司,山西太原030006

出　　处：《工程经济》2018年第2期31-35,共5页ENGINEERING ECONOMY

基　　金：国家社科青年项目基金"我国PPP模式VFM定量评价方法研究及应用"(16CGL001)

摘　　要：分析现有的风险分担博弈模型,在利用环境和产出确定企业风险权重的同时,给出关于项目各相关方承担项目风险偏好和成本的思考。以此为基础建立优化模型,并用实际案例证明优化模型的实用性,为PPP项目参与者根据各自风险偏好进行风险评估提供依据。This paper analyzes the existing risk sharing models,uses environment and production to determine the risk weights of enterprises,at same time gives thinking on the preference and cost of the project risk of relevant parties of PPP projects. Based on the above analysis,establishes an optimization model,and proves the practicability of the optimization model with practical cases,which provides a basis for PPP project participants to conduct risk assessment based on their respective risk preferences.

关 键 词：PPP模式 风险分担 博弈模型 风险偏好 

分 类 号：F283[经济管理—国民经济]