基于X-12-ARIMA与TRAMO/SEATS季节调整技术的销售量研究  

Sales Volume Based on X-12-ARIMA and TRAMO/SEATS Season Adjustment Technology

作　　者：闵盈盈[1,2] 敖长林[1] MIN Ying-ying;AO Chang-lin(Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China;Harbin Business University, Harbin 150028, China)

机构地区：[1]东北农业大学工程学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150030 [2]哈尔滨商业大学计算机学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150028

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2018年第8期68-74,共7页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

摘　　要：首先说明了季节调整技术的发展及应用，并对X-12-ARIMA与TRAMO／SEATS方法进行了比较；其次应用x-12-ARIMA方法对苏宁电器的销售量进行季节调整，并改进了X-12-ARIMA方法中假日效应部分；最后应用改进的模型对苏宁电器的销售量进行了预测，均取得较好效果．This paper first describes the development and application of seasonal adjustment technology, and compares X-12-ARIMA with TRAMO / SEATS method. Secondly, X-12- ARIMA method is used to adjust the sales volume of Suning Appliance and improve it The X-12-ARIMA method in the holiday effect part; Finally, the application of improved models of Suning Appliance sales were predicted, have achieved good results.

关 键 词：季节调整 X-12-ARIMA TRAMO/SEATS 销售量 

分 类 号：F274[经济管理—企业管理] F426.6[经济管理—国民经济]