中国水产品出口贸易格局演化特征实证研究——基于1992-2016年面板数据  

A empirical study on the evolving features of aquatic export distribution of China:based on the panel data from 1992 to 2016

作　　者：邵桂兰[1] 孔海峥 李晨[1,2] SHAO Gui-lan;KONG Hai-zheng;LIChen(School of Economics, Ocean University of China, Shandong Qingdao 266100, China)

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学经济学院,山东青岛266100 [2]中国海洋大学海洋发展研究院,山东青岛266100

出　　处：《中国渔业经济》2018年第2期39-50,共12页Chinese Fisheries Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金一般项目(11BJY064);山东省社会科学规划研究项目重大理论与实践问题研究专项(18CSJJ01);山东省自然科学基金青年基金项目(ZR2016GQ05)相关研究成果

摘　　要：中国渔业出口贸易格局主要指由贸易伙伴国所占中国渔业出口贸易份额所反映出的中国渔业出口贸易总体态势。论文计算了1992-2016年中国水产品渔业出口贸易格局的空间基尼系数、地带偏离系数、区位商、并做空间重心坐标,并对其变化趋势进行Mann-Kendall检验,分析中国水产品出口贸易格局演化的均衡、集聚及极点特征分析及Mann-Kendall趋势检验。结果表明,中国渔业水产品出口贸易格局的空间基尼系数总体呈现下降趋势,且具有地带间均衡化和地带内均衡化的演化特征,不同地带间以及和同一地带内的不同国家间的贸易地位差距均在逐渐缩小,呈现出较为突出的"均衡化"演化特征,贸易格局呈现出由东亚"单极点"向东亚、西欧、东南亚等"多极点"演化的特征,同时非洲南部、拉丁美洲等发展中地区在中国渔业水产品出口贸易中的重要程度显著提高,空间重心亦呈现向南运动的轨迹,经济发达地区和欠发达地区在贸易格局中的地位差距缩小。这种"均衡化"和"多极化"演化特征有利于中国水产品渔业出口贸易的稳定和安全发展。By using the sample of 1992-2014, this paper analyzed the evolving features of export distribution by calculating the spatial Gini coefficients, Theil index, location entropy and spatial mass center, as well as Mann-Kendall test analysis. It came to the conclusions that the distribution is prominently equalizing while evolving. The Gaps between different partners in one zone and those between different zones are gradually reducing. The distribution originally had only one zone, eastern Asia, as its pole. And now southeastern Asia and western Europe have been evolving into another two poles. By the mean time, developing areas, such as southern Africa and Latin America have been more and more important in the aquatic export distribution of China. The balanced and multipolar export distribution is conducive to the stability and security of China＇s aquatic export.

关 键 词：水产品 出口贸易格局 贸易格局演化 演化特征 

分 类 号：F326.406[经济管理—产业经济]