大众创业创新投入及环境与经济发展关系的实证研究  

Empirical Research on the Relationship among Economic Development with Mass Entrepreneurship and Innovation Investment and Environment

作　　者：陈禹 王元地 佘茂艳 CHEN Yu;WANG Yuan-di;SHE Mao-yan(School of Business, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064)

机构地区：[1]四川大学商学院

出　　处：《软科学》2018年第6期6-9,14,共5页Soft Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71302133);成都市软科学研究项目(2015-RK00-00083-ZF)

摘　　要：以“大众创业,万众创新”（简称“双创”）为研究视角,构建创新投入、创新环境与经济发展之间的理论模型,基于省际面板数据（2005~2014年）,以VAR模型为基础对三者之间的长期动态关系进行实证研究,先后进行了单位根检验、Johansen协整检验、Granger因果关系检验、脉冲响应函数检验及方差分解检验等。得出以下结论：短期来看滞后1期和2期,增加创新投入会提高经济发展水平,而经济发展水平提高未导致创新投入增加,创新环境与经济发展相互影响;长期来看滞后3期和4期,创新投入、创新环境与经济发展相互促进互为因果关系。This paper regards the Mass entrepreneurship and innovation （Double innovation for short） as the research view. First, it constructs the theoretical model among innovation investment, environment and economy development to understand the relationship among them. Then it collects the provincial data （2005-2014）, based on the VAR model to study the dynamic relationship among them, which adopts following methods： Unit root test, Johansen co-integration test, Granger causality test, Impulse response function and Variance decomposition test inspection. Results concluded as follows ： lag 1 and 2 in short time, innovation investment growth lead to higher levels of economic growth, and economic growth has not led to increase innovation investment, innovation environment and economic growth mutually reinforce each other. Lag 3 and 4 in long term, innovation investment, innovation environment and economic growth reinforce each other mutually.

关 键 词：双创 创新投入 创新环境 经济发展 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]