基于增加值贸易的中国贸易成本:测算、效应与决定因素  

China's Trade Cost Based on Value-Added Trade:Measurements,Effects and Determinants

作　　者：许统生[1] 徐睿 XU Tong-sheng;XU Rui(Institute for International Economics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China)

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学国际经济研究所,江西南昌330013

出　　处：《经济经纬》2018年第4期72-78,共7页Economic Survey

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71773042;71263016;71303097;71363016);江西省"十二五"社会科学规划项目(15YJ288);江西省高校人文社会科学研究项目(JJ17217);江西省研究生创新专项资金项目(YC2015-B041)

摘　　要：采用拓展的引力模型,基于增加值贸易测算中国与60个贸易伙伴的双边贸易成本,发现双边贸易成本呈现逐年下降趋势,其中与"一带一路"沿线国家的贸易成本年均下降幅度大于非沿线国家年均下降幅度。计算得到贸易成本下降对增加值贸易增长影响的平均贡献率约为29%。进一步实证分析双边贸易成本的决定因素,发现除了关税、距离等传统因素外,GVC嵌入程度也是其决定因素。因此,中国应进一步深化全球价值链分工、加快信息化建设,以降低贸易成本、促进贸易便利化水平和增加值贸易发展。Adopting the Extended Gravity Model, this study calculates bilateral trade costs of China and 60 trade partners in terms of value-added trade. It is found that China＇ s bilateral trade costs are dropping gradually, among which the annual drop with countries along ＂The Belt and Road＂ line is greater than that with other counties. The contribution rate of the decline in China＇ s bilateral trade costs on value-added trade growth is 29%. The empirical analysis of determinants in bilateral value-added trade costs shows that GVC is also a major factor other than those traditional ones of tariffs and distance. Therefore, China could further deepen the division of global value chain and accelerate information infrastructure construction in its endeavor to reduce bilateral trade costs and to promote the trade facilitation and development of value-added trade.

关 键 词：双边贸易成本 增加值贸易 GVC 

分 类 号：F710[经济管理—产业经济]