考虑自然灾害的房地产物业管理应急疏散模型设计  

Design of Emergency Evacuation Model for Real Estate Management Considering Natural Disasters

作　　者：刘丽云[1] LIU Liyun(AnHui Aduit college,HeFei 230601,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽审计职业学院,安徽合肥230601

出　　处：《灾害学》2018年第3期179-183,共5页Journal of Catastrophology

基　　金：安徽省教育厅重点自然基金项目(kj2016A259);安徽省教育厅质量工程项目(2016tszy034)

摘　　要：针对传统物业管理应急疏散模型,忽略了在出现自然灾害的情况下,人员拥挤对房地产物业管理应急疏散的影响,导致应急疏散效果差、耗时长的问题。该文提出基于最小正交序列估计的房地产物业管理应急疏散模型,通过构建半参数可加回归模型对应急疏散通道内人员滞留现象进行分析,基于最小正交序列估计理念,优化应急疏散网络,采用Matlab软件对所获得的通道突变处客流密度与速度进行拟合分析,获取最优应急疏散路径,实现房地产物业管理应急疏散分析。实验结果表明,采用改进疏散模型,相比传统疏散模型,其疏散速度及效率均要优,具有一定的优势。In view of the emergency evacuation model of traditional property management, the effect of personnel congestion on emergency evacuation of real estate management is ignored in the case of natural disasters, which leads to the problem of poor emergency evacuation effect and long time consuming. In this paper, an emergency evacuation model of real estate management based on the minimum orthogonal sequence estimation is proposed, and a semi parametric additive regression model is constructed to analyze the phenomenon of personnel retention in the emergency evacuation channel. Based on the minimum orthogonal sequence estimation concept, the emergency evacuation network is optimized and the Matlab software is used to get the channel mutation. By fitting and analyzing passenger flow density and speed, the optimal emergency evacuation route is obtained, and the emergency evacuation analysis of realty property management is realized. The experimental results show that the improved evacuation model is superior to the traditional evacuation model in terms of evacuation speed and efficiency, and has certain advantages.

关 键 词：自然灾害 房地产 物业 管理 应急 疏散 模型 

分 类 号：O157.5[理学—数学] X43[理学—基础数学]