崇左市水口口岸物流需求分析与发展研究  

Research on Logistics Demand and Development of Shuikou Entry Port in Chongzuo

作　　者：谭榕招 李柏敏 Tan Rongzhao;Li Baimin(School of Economics ＆ Management,Guangxi Normal University for Nationalities,Chongzuo 532200,China)

机构地区：[1]广西民族师范学院经济与管理学院,广西崇左532200

出　　处：《物流技术》2018年第8期63-66,共4页Logistics Technology

基　　金：广西民族师范学院自治区级大学生创新创业训练计划项目(201710604028);2016年度广西民族师范学院校级科研一般项目(2016YB002);2016年度广西民族师范学院"服务旅游与商贸产业专业群"校级科研一般项目(Lyysmky2016001)

摘　　要：通过对水口口岸物流预测指标数据的选取,开展了以水口口岸为例的口岸物流需求预测分析工作,以进出口货运量为指标数据建立基于灰色预测的GM(1,1)物流需求预测模型,并预测2018至2020年水口口岸的进出口货运量,模型预测数据显示水口口岸物流需求在未来几年呈增长的趋势。In this paper, through selecting the relevant index data of the Shuikou entry port, we went about the forecasting and analysis of the logistics demand at the port, established a GM（1,1） logistics demand grey forecasting model with the incoming and outgoing cargo volume as the index and used it to forecast the incoming and outgoing cargo volume of the port between 2018 and 2020, which showed that the logistics demand at Shuikou entry port is about to increase in the coming years.

关 键 词：口岸物流 物流需求量 灰色预测模型 广西崇左 

分 类 号：F259.27[经济管理—国民经济] F752.8