新形势下气象灾害应急管理能力评价方法及研究  

Evaluation method and research on meteorological disaster emergency management capability under the new situation

作　　者：郑传新[1] 陆虹 胡维[1] 李颖婷[1] 刘晓君 所妍枫[1] Zheng Chuanxin;Lu Hong;Hu Wei;Li Yingting;Liu Xiaojun;Suo Yanfeng(Guilin Meteorological Bureau,Guilin Guangxi 541001;Guangxi Climate Center,Nanning Guangxi 530022)

机构地区：[1]桂林市气象局,广西桂林541001 [2]广西区气候中心,广西南宁530022

出　　处：《气象研究与应用》2018年第3期112-115,共4页Journal of Meteorological Research and Application

基　　金：广西自然科学基金项目(2013GXNSFAA019288)

摘　　要：运用文献法、德尔菲法和层次分析法,对2013年以来气象灾害应急管理能力进行研究分析,构建了"气象灾害应急管理能力评价指标体系"参考模式,对气象灾害应急管理能力进行量化综合评价,以期全面了解新形势下气象灾害应急管理的总体情况,找出存在的差距和问题,为有效改进和完善应急管理体系提供基础和前提。In this paper, literature method, Delphi method, and analytic hierarchy process are used to study and analyze the capability of meteorological disaster emergency management since 2013, and a reference model of ＂meteorological disaster emergency management capability evaluation index system＂ is constructed to evaluate the capability of meteorological disaster emergency management quantitatively and comprehensively. In this way, we can have a fully understanding of the overall situ- ation and identify the existing gaps and problems, so that a foundation and a premise for an effective improvement of emergen- cy management system can be provided.

关 键 词：气象灾害 应急管理 德尔菲法 层次分析法 评价体系 

分 类 号：P429[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]