挑战与机遇:人类面临的四大困境与最大危机及其引发的科技革命  

Challenges and opportunities:The Revolution of Science and technology triggered by the Four Major Dilemmas and the Biggest Crisis Confronted by Human-beings

作　　者：刘益东[1] Liu Yidong(The Institute for the History of Natural Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing,100190,China)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院自然科学史研究所,北京100190

出　　处：《科技创新导报》2016年第35期221-230,共10页Science and Technology Innovation Herald

摘　　要：该文将著名的囚徒困境和自己提出来的动车困境、双刃剑困境、魔戒困境与科技危机合称"四大困境与最大危机",将其认定为目前人类面临的最大威胁和挑战,目前风起云涌的大IT革命、创客运动与科技的快速发展正全面加剧这种困境与危机,因此将引发一场科技革命。发现目前社会已经形成了"恐怖实现系统",人类已经进入危变社会和危变时代,实现从"建设优先""产销优先"向"安全优先""解危优先"的转型是当务之急。The paper combines the Prisoner’s Dilemma with the MU Train’s Dilemma,Double-edged Sword Dilemma,and the Lord ofRings Dilemma which were proposed by the author in the previous articles,and the author believe that that they are“Four MajorDilemmas and the Biggest Crisis”which is the greatest threat and disaster of human beings.The BigIT revolution,maker movementand the rapid development of science and technology all contribute to the crisis,and it results in the revolution of science and technology.Also this paper discovers that the Terrorism realizable system has already been established in the society.We have entered an era ofcrisis,which makes the transforming priority from construction into safety,from production and marketing into danger relieving the mosturgent issue.

关 键 词：动车困境 双刃剑困境 魔戒困境 致毁知识 科技危机 对不准原理 恐怖实现系统 危变社会 科技巨风险 黑客社会 最大危机 可持续创新与发展 容错战略管理 科技的总体安全观 负责任创新 图位化 科技革命 

分 类 号：C964.2[经济管理—人力资源管理]