“十二五”时期中国碳生产率的因素分解与增长动力——基于LMDI-PDA分解法  

Factor Decomposition and Growth Motive Force of Carbon Productivity in China During “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”: Based on LMDI-PDA Method

作　　者：李珊珊[1] 罗良文[1] Li Shanshan;Luo Liangwen(Department of Economics,Zhongnan University of Finance and Law,Wuhan 430074,China)

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学经济学院,武汉430074

出　　处：《技术经济》2018年第8期77-86,共10页Journal of Technology Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"环境规制对中国区域碳生产率影响的理论解释与非线性效应研究:基于地方政府竞争视角"(71503272);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"国际研发资本技术溢出对绿色技术创新绩效的影响及区域差异:空间溢出及门槛效应视角"(16YJA790036)

摘　　要：将Shephard距离函数引入LMDI-PDA分解法,构建了中国碳生产率七重因素分解模型,并进一步对能源强度因素进行深入分解,并考察了"十二五"时期(2010—2015年)中国碳生产率的影响因素。结果显示:从影响因素来看,人均产出规模的贡献率最大(151.22%),人口规模贡献率最小(1.39%);从行业来看,批发零售和住宿餐饮业、工业对中国碳生产率的贡献最为显著,贡献率分别为13.81%和13.23%;从地区来看,贡献程度较大的地区为山东、广东、湖北和湖南,其碳生产率效应的贡献率分别为13.10%、8.58%、8.17%和6.59%。能源强度因素的拓展分析结果显示,潜在能源强度、能源技术进步能明显促进中国碳生产率增长,但能源技术效率对中国碳生产率具有一定的抑制作用。This paper introduces Shephard distance function into LMDI-PDA method,and builds a seven-factor decomposition model for carbon productivity of China,and further decomposes the energy intensity factor.Then it investigates the influential factors of carbon productivity in China during in the period of 2010-2015.The results show as follows:based on the extent of the contribution to carbon productivity in China,the effect of capita output scale has the maximum contribution of 151.22%,and the effect of population scale has the minimum contribution of 1.39%.Wholesale and retail and catering industry,industry has significant contribution to carbon productivity in China,the effect of which are 13.81%and 13.23%respectively.The effects of regional carbon productivity in four provinces of Shandong,Guangdong,Hubei and Hunan have great contribution to the effect of the total regional carbon productivity,the effect of which are 13.10%,8.58%,8.17%and 6.59%respectively.In terms of extension analysis of energy intensity factor,potential energy intensity and energy technological progress can obviously promote the growth of carbon productivity in China,but energy technological efficiency has an inhibitory effect on carbon productivity in China.

关 键 词：碳生产率 因素分解 Shephard距离函数 LMDI-PDA分解法 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]