基于储蓄投资关系的京津冀地区资本流动水平测度  

Measurement of Capital Flows in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region Based on the Relationship between Savings and Investment

作　　者：杨贵军[1] 王哲 YANG Gui-jun;WANG Zhe(China Center of Economic Statistics Research/School of Statistics,Tianjin University of Finance and Economics,Tianjin 300222,China;Department of Operation Management, Dalian Zhong Sheng Group,Dalian,Liaoning 116023,China)

机构地区：[1]天津财经大学中国经济统计研究中心/统计学院,天津300222 [2]大连中升集团运营部,辽宁大连116023

出　　处：《河北大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2018年第5期52-61,共10页Journal of Hebei University(Philosophy and Social Science)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(11471239);全国统计科学研究重点项目(2017LZ25);2016年度重庆市社会科学规划重大委托项目(2016WT03)

摘　　要：京津冀经济发展依赖于京津冀资本的良好流动。引入改进FH模型,考虑经济增长和政府干预不仅影响自发资本投资率,也影响储蓄投资倾向。基于改进FH模型的京津冀地区资本流动的数据分析结果显示:京津冀地区资本流动水平逐渐增强;经济增长和政府干预对于储蓄投资关系的影响也由弱渐强;相对于政府干预,经济增长对资本流动的影响相对更大;不同城市的自发性投资率和边际投资倾向不同,其资本流动水平存在差异。Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei economic development depends on the good flow of capital.An improved FH model is introduced to consider that economic growth and government intervention affect not only the rate of spontaneous capital investment but also the propensity of saving investment.Based on the data analysis of capital flows in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region using by the improved FH model,the capital flow level in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has gradually increased.The impact of economic growth and government intervention on savings investment is also weak.Relative to government intervention,economic growth has a greater impact on capital flows.Different cities have different rates of spontaneous investment and marginal investment,and their capital flows are different.

关 键 词：资本流动 京津冀 自发性投资率 边际投资倾向 经济增长 政府干预 

分 类 号：F832.7[经济管理—金融学]