大规模风电并网背景下火电调峰行为演化博弈模型  

Study on Evolutionary Game Model of Thermal Power Regulation in Largescale Wind Power Grid Integration

作　　者：董福贵[1] 吴南南 么峻 李虎军 白宏坤 靳春旭[1] DONG Fugui;WU Nannan;YAO Jun;LI Hujun;BAI Hongkun;JIN Chunxu(School of Economics and Management,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China;State Grid Henan Economic Research Institute,Zhengzhou 450052,China)

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京102206 [2]国网河南省电力公司经济技术研究院,河南郑州450052

出　　处：《中国电力》2018年第9期151-157,共7页Electric Power

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划项目(15YJA630011)~~

摘　　要：为解决大规模风电并网所带来的消纳问题,基于火电机组容量和最高调峰率指标,以公平性原则为前提,针对不同类别的机组,设定了有偿与无偿调峰划分标准。将火电调峰行为转化为上网电量竞价收益与调峰辅助服务收益演化博弈问题,讨论了综合考虑两个市场情景下,各类火电厂的竞价策略及对应策略下的收益,分别求解了稳定策略。针对两类电厂的博弈问题进行了实证分析。结果表明:现阶段的调峰辅助服务补偿额与上网电量收益额存在巨大差距,并且这一情况在今后一段时间内仍将存在。制订合理的辅助服务市场规则,提升火电机组调峰的积极性,从而促进大规模风电消纳是亟须解决的问题。To solve the absorption problem caused by large-scale wind power grid connection,under condition of fairness,the criteria to determine paid and unpaid peak-shaving units is set up for different types of units based on the capacity of thermal power units and their maximum peak-rates.The peaking evolutionary behavior of thermal power units can be transformed into the evolutionary game between electricity bidding and peaking auxiliary service revenue.Under the context of two market scenarios,the bidding strategy and the corresponding revenue of all kinds of thermal power plants are discussed comprehensively,then corresponding stability strategy is solved respectively.The game problem of two kinds of power plants is analyzed empirically.It is shown that at the current stage there is a huge gap between the compensation amount of peak-shaving auxiliary service and the revenue of the on-grid electricity,which will exist for some time in the future.Therefore it is becoming urgent to establish reasonable auxiliary service market and promote the positiveness of peak regulations of thermal power units so as to improve the ability for absorbing large-scale wind power generation.

关 键 词：风电并网 风电消纳 激励机制 火电调峰 演化博弈 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]