基于SEEA 2012体系的漳江口红树林保护区GEP核算  

GEP Accounting of Zhangjiangkou Mangrove Reserve Based on SEEA 2012 System

作　　者：涂伟豪 刘金福[1,2,3] 林志玮 黄嘉航 周铮雯 陈虹[1,3] 尤添革[1] 张翎[1] TU Weihao;LIU Jinfu;LIN Chihwei;HUANG Jiahang;ZHOU Zhengwen;CHEN Hong;YOU Tiange;ZHANG Ling(College of Computer and Information Sciences,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou 350002 China;Cross-strait Nature Reserve Research Center,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou 350002 China;Key Laboratory of Ecology and Resources Statistics,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou 350002 China)

机构地区：[1]福建农林大学计算机与信息学院,福州350002 [2]福建农林大学海峡自然保护区研究中心,福州350002 [3]福建农林大学生态与资源统计福建省高校重点实验室,福州350002

出　　处：《林业经济问题》2018年第4期43-47,105,共6页Issues of Forestry Economics

基　　金：福建省林业科学技术研究项目(闽林科[2014]2号)

摘　　要：基于SEEA 2012体系提出符合中国国情的生态系统生产总值(GEP)核算体系,结合调研数据,通过灰色预测模型,对漳江口红树林保护区2004—2014年和2015—2019年的生态系统生产总值进行核算与估算。结果表明:漳江口红树林保护区的红树林面积逐年增加,2004—2014年生态系统生产总值保持上升趋势,生态系统更加稳定;2015—2019年漳江口红树林保护区生态系统生产总值有明显上升趋势。⑴Background--The stability of ecosystems is closely related to the surrounding social economy.The gross ecosystem production(GEP)can calculate the value of regional ecosystem production within a period of time,which is an effective technical means.However,the calculation system of China s gross ecosystem production value is currently not perfect.It is urgent to establish an accounting system that conforms to China s national conditions.⑵Methods--Based on the SEEA 2012 system,this paper proposes an ecological account framework for mangrove nature reserves in line with China s national conditions.The gross ecosystem production of reserves is estimated by mineral and energy resources,land resources,soil resources,timber resources,aquatic resources,water resources and other biological resources.Taking the Zhangjiangkou estuary mangrove national nature reserve as an example,the gross ecosystem production value of the Zhangjiangkou estuary mangrove national nature reserve from 2004 to 2014 is estimated,and the GEP value of the Zhangjiangkou estuary mangrove national nature reserve from 2015 to 2019 is predicted based on the grey prediction model.⑶Results--On one hand,Establishing the SEEA 2012 accounting system to calculate the GEP value of Zhangjiangkou estuary mangrove national nature reserve from 2004 to 2014 shows that the GEP value of Zhangjiangkou mangrove wetland reserve maintains an overall upward trend from 2004 to 2014.Among them,mineral resources and energy resources are decreasing year by year.Other biological resources and water resources have increased greatly.Land resources,soil resources,aquaculture and timber production have steadily increased,and ecosystems have become more stable.On the other hand,based on the grey prediction method,it is estimated that the ecosystem production value of the Zhangjiangkou estuary mangrove national nature reserve in 2015-2019 will have a clear upward trend.In the next five years,the annual growth rate of GEP in the Zhangjiangkou estuary mangrove national nature r

关 键 词：SEEA2012 GEP 核算 

分 类 号：F307.22[经济管理—产业经济]