地震新闻报道中中国地震死亡人数时间序列特征研究  

Time Series Characteristics of Earthquake Deaths in China News Reports

作　　者：吴新燕[1] 吴昊昱[2] 路尧[2] 郎从[1] WU Xinyan;WU Haoyu;LU Yao;LANG Cong(Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100081, China;Shanxi Earthquake Agency, Taiyuan 030021, China)

机构地区：[1]中国地震局地球物理研究所,北京100081 [2]山西省地震局,山西太原030021

出　　处：《灾害学》2019年第1期34-37,共4页Journal of Catastrophology

基　　金：中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务专项"地震造成人员伤亡的区域特征研究"(DQJB15C09)

摘　　要：选取了1996-2017年国内18次震例,统计新浪网对地震死亡人数的报道数据,利用对数函数对震例进行了数据拟合,结果表明:(1)地震死亡人数与其被报出的时间所呈现的曲线有着很好的相关性,死亡人数越多,确定最终死亡人数的时间也就越长。(2)地震死亡人数接近总数的报出时间越短,表明救援能力越强。从18次震例中体现出我国的地震灾害的救援能力以及地震灾害响应情况在各个震级档中较为一致。Selecting 18 earthquake cases in China from 1996 to 2017, we use statistical data of earthquake deaths reported by Sina net to fit the earthquake deaths with logarithmic function. The results show that:(1) There is a good correlation between the number of earthquake deaths and the curve of the reported time; the more the number of deaths, the final death is determined. The longer the number of people.(2) The shorter the time of the earthquake death toll approaching the total, the stronger the rescue capability. The rescue ability of earthquake disasters and the response of earthquake disasters in China are consistent in all magnitudes from 18 earthquake cases.

关 键 词：地震 死亡人数 新闻报道 时间序列 特征研究 

分 类 号：X43[环境科学与工程—灾害防治] P315[天文地球—地震学]