支线机场与区域经济发展:以江苏省为例  

Regional airports and economic growth: Take Jiangsu Province as instance

作　　者：白杨[1] 张杨茗媛 BAI Yang;ZHANG Yangmingyuan(College of Civil Aviation,Nanjing university of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 211106,China)

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学民航学院,南京211106

出　　处：《中国民航大学学报》2018年第6期39-44,共6页Journal of Civil Aviation University of China

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项(NS2015065)

摘　　要：以江苏省支线机场为研究对象,分析了苏南、苏北支线机场旅客吞吐量(TQ)及该地区国民生产总值(GDP)间的协整性及格兰杰因果关系,从宏观上探讨支线机场和区域经济发展的关联性。研究发现,支线机场旅客吞吐量与GDP之间具有长期稳定的均衡关系。对比研究,苏南地区经济发展更能促进地区航空运输量的增长,而苏北地区航空运输对经济发展的作用略大。根据格兰杰因果关系分析,苏南地区的GDP为吞吐量的格兰杰原因,反之不是;苏北地区吞吐量为GDP的格兰杰原因,反之不是。以上结论可为地方政府制定科学的支线航空发展政策提供参考。Taking regional airports of Jiangsu Provence as instance,co-integration and Granger causality between airport passenger throughput and local GDP in southern and northern districts of Jiangsu Province are analyzed in order to investigate the interrelation between regional airports and local economic growth from the macroscopic perspective.It is found that there exists stable and long period relation between the two variables.Contrastive study proves that the economic growth in southern Jiangsu can obviously promote the development of regional aviation,while the air transportation in northern Jiangsu has greater impact on local economy.For southern Jiangsu province,local GDP is the Granger cause of airport throughput,but not vice versa.While for northern Jiangsu province,the situation is just the opposite.The above conclusion could provide reference for local government to make scientific regional aviation developing policy.

关 键 词：支线机场 区域经济 协整分析 格兰杰因果分析 

分 类 号：V351[航空宇航科学与技术—人机与环境工程] F57[经济管理—产业经济]