“一带一路”沿线国家性别结构对进出口的影响  

Influence of Sexually Imbalance in Countries along “The Belt and Road” Route

作　　者：杜薇 余向华[2] 姜慧 DU Wei;YU Xianghua;JIANG Hui(School of International Trade and Economics, University of InternationalBusiness and Economics, Beijing 100029, China;School of Economics, Beijing Technology andBusiness University, Beijing 100037, China;Business School of Ludong University, Yantai 264025, China)

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院,北京100029 [2]北京工商大学经济学院,北京100037 [3]鲁东大学商学院,山东烟台264025

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2019年第2期1-6,共6页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：中国国家留学基金委项目(CSC 201706640065);2017国家社会科学基金项目(17BJL060);北京市社会科学基金项目(14JGB030)

摘　　要：以"一带一路"沿线国家为研究对象,利用MLE模型、固定效应模型、似不相关模型(SUR)以及门限模型,分析1997—2017年性别结构对国际贸易进口和出口的影响,结果表明:性别结构通过社会渠道传导更直接,对出口的影响比进口更显著;"一带一路"沿线国家第二产业对出口的影响作用更明显;不同收入程度的"一带一路"沿线国家中,性别结构对进出口的影响存在差异,且具有门限效应。In recent years, gender issues have received much attention as a social phenomenon that cannot be ignored. Domestic and foreign scholars have conducted a lot of research on the social impacts, but the current research about the impact of gender imbalance on the national economy is obviously insufficient. With the implementation of the “The Belt and Road” strategy, the trade between countries along the route has become closer. Therefore, gender issues should be paid more attention for its importance in affecting both the demand and supply of trade. This paper analyzed the effects of sexually imbalance on the import and export in 41 countries from 1997 to 2017 through the MLE model, two-way fixed effect model, the seemingly unrelated model (SUR) and threshold model in “The Belt and Road” countries. The results show that the impact of sexually imbalance on export is more effective by social channel rather than by industrial channel, and the impact on exports is bigger than on imports;the second industry is a more effective way to stimulate imports and exports compared to other industries in “The Belt and Road” countries;The impact of sexually imbalance on trade varies from country to country with different income levels.

关 键 词：性别比例 国际贸易 固定效应模型 SUR模型 门限模型 一带一路 

分 类 号：F240[经济管理—劳动经济] F742[经济管理—国民经济]