基于自组织理论的航运服务产业系统演化分析  

Evolution Analysis of Shipping Service Industry System Based Self-organization Theory

作　　者：于泽崴 邓伟 特木尔朝鲁 曹均阔[2] 陈信强 罗强[4] YU Ze-wei;DENG Wei;CHAOLU Te-mu-er;CAO Jun-kuo;CHEN Xin-qiang;LUO Qiang(Mathematical Modelling Laboratory, Shanghai Maritime University , Shanghai 201306, China;Network and Data Center, Hainan Normal University , Haikou 571158, China;Institute of Logistics Science and Engineering, Shanghai Maritime University , Shanghai 201306, China;School of Civil Engineering, Guangzhou University , Guangzhou 510006, China)

机构地区：[1]上海海事大学文理学院数学建模实验室,上海201306 [2]海南师范大学网络与数据中心,海口571158 [3]上海海事大学物流科学与工程研究院,上海201306 [4]广州大学土木工程学院,广州510006

出　　处：《科学技术与工程》2019年第11期280-285,共6页Science Technology and Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(51579143);上海市科学技术委员会项目(18295801100;17595810300;18040501700);云南省科技计划项目(2018IB022);海南重大科技计划项目(ZDKJ2017012)资助

摘　　要：为了揭示航运服务产业系统的发展过程,基于自组织理论对航运服务产业的协同演化机理进行研究。分析了航运服务产业的自组织性和演化动力,引入自组织理论的分形理论模型,构建了航运服务产业系统的演化模型。最后,以某沿海城市航运服务产业系统为研究对象,基于提出的分形理论模型对该城市航运服务产业系统的演化过程进行实例分析。实验结果表明,提出的自组织演化模型能够准确地刻画航运服务产业系统的演化发展过程。To uncover the evolution procedure of the shipping service industry system, the co-evolution mechanism of the shipping service industry was deeply explored based on the self-organization theory. After analyzing self-organization and evolution features of the shipping service industry system, the fractal model of self-organization theory was introduced to model the evolution mechanism of the shipping service industry system. The proposed evolution model was verified on shipping service industry system of a coastal city in China, and the experimental results show that the evolution process is modeled accurately and correctly.

关 键 词：自组织理论 分形理论模型 航运服务产业 演化机制 

分 类 号：U644[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]