云南省工业污染与经济增长关系量化研究  

Quantitative Study on the Relationship between Industrial Pollution and Economic Growth in Yunnan Province

作　　者：王平 段友爱[1] 邱飞[1] WANG Ping;DUAN You-ai;QIU Fei(Yunnan Environmental Monitoring Center,Kunming Yunnan 650034,China)

机构地区：[1]云南省环境监测中心站

出　　处：《环境科学导刊》2019年第3期21-26,65,共7页Environmental Science Survey

摘　　要：基于环境库兹涅茨曲线,分析了云南省2007—2016年环境污染与经济增长之间的关系,运用SPSS软件构建了云南省经济增长与环境污染指标之间曲线模型。分析结果表明:云南省工业废水排放总量与人均GDP呈现同步增长趋势;除工业二氧化硫排放量左端微上翘外,其与工业化学需氧量、氨氮、氮氧化物排放量均与人均GDP呈现“倒U”型且污染物排放量已经渡过峰值,在后续一段时间内污染物排放量将随人均GDP的增长呈现下降趋势;工业废气排放总量与人均GDP则呈现倾斜的“N”型。Based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve,the relationship between environmental pollution and economic growth from 2007 to 2016 about Yunnan province was analyzed.The curve model of economic growth and environmental pollution was constructed using SPSS software in this paper.The results showed that the industrial waste water emissions and per capita GDP presented synchronous growth trend.Except for the industrial SO2 on the left sidebecome micro up warped,the industrial chemical oxygen demand,ammonia nitrogen,nitrogen oxide emissions and per capita GDP presented inverted“U”type,and pollutant emissions have already exceeded the peak,pollutant emissions would decrease with the growth of per capita GDP in the following period.The industrial waste gas emissions and per capita GDP were tilted“N”type.

关 键 词：经济增长 工业污染 结构效应 环境库兹涅茨曲线 云南 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]