基于分位数回归分析方法的农村金融对农业产业化的影响研究  

The Impact of Rural Finance on Agricultural Industrialization Based on Regression Approach

作　　者：汪桥[1] 台德进 董春丽[1] WANG Qiao;TAI De-jin;DONG Chun-li(School of Economics and Management, Chuzhou College, Chuzhou, Anhui 239000)

机构地区：[1]滁州学院经济管理学院,安徽滁州239000

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2019年第9期219-223,共5页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：安徽省社会科学创新发展研究课题"安徽省科技金融创新支持体系:构建;测度与对策研究"(2018CX113);安徽省高校人文社科重点项目"江淮分水岭地区农村金融与农民收入增长互动关系研究"(SK2017A0419);"金融科技推进安徽生态农业产业化路径研究"(SK2018A0418);2019年度安徽高校科学研究项目"安徽省科技金融驱动包容性绿色增长研究"

摘　　要：为了探讨农村金融与农业产业化之间存在的内在规律,使用中国2000—2016年的数据对两者进行了定量分析和实证分析,并对两者良性互动给出了数理模型推导。结果显示:农村金融与农业产业化通过技术进步和资本积累途径相互促进;中国农业产业化水平得到提高,但发展速度缓慢,农村金融逐渐发展,但并不平稳;农村金融变量对农业产业化的分位数回归系数呈波动状态,其中,农业贷款和农业保费赔付对农业产业化具有明显的促进作用,由此得出金融支农的重要意义。In order to explore the inherent laws existing between rural finance and agriculture industrialization, this paper uses the data of China in 2000-2016 to conduct quantitative analysis and empirical analysis, and deduces the mathematical model derived from the positive interaction between the two. The results show: Rural finance and agricultural industrialization promote each other through technological progress and ways of capital accumulation;the level of China’s agricultural industrialization has been improved, but the pace of development has been slow. Rural finance has gradually developed but not stabilized;the quantile regression coefficient of rural financial variables on agricultural industrialization fluctuated, among them, agricultural loans and agricultural insurance premiums played a significant role in promoting agriculture industrialization, and the important meaning of financial support for agriculture was drawn.

关 键 词：农村金融 农业产业化 分位数回归 

分 类 号：S-9[农业科学]