特朗普对华心理探析——基于信念体系操作码的解读  

An Analysis of Trump's Psychology in China——An Interpretation Based on Operational Code of Belief System

作　　者：季乃礼[1] 孙佳琪 JI Nai-li;SUN Jia-qi

机构地区：[1]南开大学周恩来政府管理学院

出　　处：《理论与改革》2019年第3期79-94,共16页Theory and Reform

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目"中国政治伦理思想通史"(项目编号:16ZDA104);天津市重点项目"新时代背景下传统政治文化的继承与创新研究"(项目编号:TJZZ18-004)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：特朗普是新任美国总统,他对中国的态度反复变化,令人捉摸不定。操作码是测量领导人政治认知的重要手段,可以帮助我们了解领导人对于政治基本问题的看法。通过对特朗普的操作码分析,发现他具有合作倾向、高转变倾向、投机倾向和易受他人影响等特点。总体而言,特朗普是一个不稳定的合作者。基于其信念体系和中美现实状况,本文认为特朗普对华心理认知是合作者大于竞争者,并预测合作与互利是中美发展的未来趋向,同时"不确定性"是中国需要谨慎对待的方面。Donald Trump is the newly-elected US President, and his attitude towards China is inconstant and unpredictable. Operational code is an important tool for measuring political cognition of leaders, which can help us understand the leaders' views on basic political issues. Mr Trump's operational codes show that he has the tendency of cooperation, high transition, propensity for speculation and vulnerability to others. In general, he is an unstable collaborator. Based on the belief system and the current relationship between China and the United States, this article considers that in Trump's psychological cognition, China is more of a collaborator than a competitor. Based on this judgment, cooperation and mutual benefit is the future trend of the development of China-US relations, while "uncertainty" is an aspect that China needs to be cautious about.

关 键 词：操作码 特朗普 中美关系 政治心理 

分 类 号：D822[政治法律—政治学]