Increasing the value of weather-related warnings  

作　　者：Qinghong Zhang Liye Li Beth Ebert Brian Golding David Johnston Brian Mills Shannon Panchuk Sally Potter Michael Riemer Juanzhen Sun Andrea Taylor Sarah Jones Paolo Ruti Julia Keller 

机构地区：[1]HIWeather International Coordination Office, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China [10]Deutscher Wetterdienst, Research and Development, Offenbach 6306乙 Germany [11]World Weather Research Division, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva 1211, Switzerland [2]Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China [3]Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria 3001, Australia [4]Met Office, Exeter, Devon EXI 3PB, UK [5]GNS Science/Massey University, Willington 6140, New Zealand [6]University of Waterloo and Environment and Climate Change Canada, Waterloo N2L 3G1, Canada [7]Institute of Atmospheric Physics, University of Mainz, Mainz 55128, Germany [8]National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80307-3000, USA [9]University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK

出　　处：《Science Bulletin》2019年第10期647-649,共3页科学通报（英文版）

基　　金：supported by 2018 Open Research Program of the Chinese State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather;the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41330421,41875052)

摘　　要：Despite advances in forecasting and emergency preparedness, weather related disasters continue to cost many lives, to displace populations and to cause wide-spread damage. Therefore, High Impact Weather Project (HIWeather), a 10-year research project (https://public.wmo.int/en/resources/buHetin/hiweather-10-yearresearch- project), was established in 2016 by WM0 (World Meteorology Organization) WWRP (World Weather Research Program: https://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/wwrp_new_en. html). HIWeather aimed at achieving dramatic improvements in the effectiveness of weather-related hazard warnings, following recent advancement in numerical weather prediction at km-scale and in disaster risk reduction. The implementation plan was developed under the concept of warning chain, which comprises all components and the connections between to a successful weather-hazards warning: observations, weather forecast, hazard forecast, impact forecast, the generation of warnings and decision making (Fig. 1). A successful warning relies on information produced by the meteorological and related physical sciences, thus its effectiveness of delivery depends on applications of social, behavioral and economic sciences. The workshop of WM0 High Impact Weather Project was held in Beijing during 20-22 November of 2018, attracted a diverse and interdisciplinary group of over 70 scientists from 25 countries in the broad field of physical and social science, during which all elements of the warning chain were discussed critically.

关 键 词：Despite advances forecasting and EMERGENCY WEATHER RELATED DISASTERS 

分 类 号：N[自然科学总论]