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作 者:王鸣野[1]
机构地区:[1]中国石油大学(北京)
出 处:《俄罗斯研究》2019年第3期123-156,共34页Russian Studies
摘 要:从“中间地带”理论的视角来看,“9·11”事件后,美国、俄罗斯和吉尔吉斯斯坦三国,围绕着吉国玛纳斯空军基地所展开的“中间地带”通道政治博弈,形成了一个完整的过程。该过程全面展示了与通道政治相关的利益的复杂性、微妙性和多向性,以及与之紧密联系在一起的“中间地带国家”行为的多变性、短期性和低可预测性。由全球战略的冲突而产生的对通道政治认知的差异,是美俄在“中间地帶”对抗的主因;而由大小不同所产生的利益认知差异,则是两大国与吉尔吉斯斯坦产生种种矛盾纠结的根源。Based on the theory concerning "intermediate zones", the author examines the whole process of games in passage politics among the U.S, Russia and Kyrgyzstan in the wake of 9.11 attacks. Actually, through the process, the author notices the complexity, tenderness and multi-dimensions of passage politics when involved with various interests, which resulted in easily-changeable, short-sighted and low-predictable characteristics in Kyrgyzstan's international behaviors. Cognitive differences between the U.S. and Russia in their conflicting global strategies have constituted the major cause of conflicts between the two powers in intermediate zones, while conflicting views between these two powers and Kyrgyzstan in each other's interests are the main source of various contradictions. Due to the above-mentioned factors, the author suggests that scholars on OBOR initiative should pay more attention to passage politics.
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