政府行为与产能过剩的形成、治理分析——基于2006—2016年工业行业面板数据的实证研究  

The Analysis of Formation and Governance of Government Behavior and Excess Capacity——An Empirical Study Based on Industrial Panel Data from 2006 to 2016

作　　者：陈俊龙 李良哲 朱婧 CHEN Jun-long;LI Liang-zhe;ZHU Jing(School of Economics,Northeastern University at Qinhuangdao,Qinhuangdao 066004,China;School of Economics,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China)

机构地区：[1]东北大学秦皇岛分校经济学院,河北秦皇岛066004 [2]南开大学经济学院,天津300071

出　　处：《东北大学学报（社会科学版）》2019年第4期360-366,共7页Journal of Northeastern University(Social Science)

基　　金：河北省自然科学基金青年科学基金资助项目(G2018501047);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(N172304021);河北省高等学校社会科学研究基金资助项目(SD192015)

摘　　要：政府行为与产能过剩的形成密切相关,也是治理产能过剩的关键,有必要探索科学合理的政府行为模式。将政府行为细化为政府的国有产权所有者行为、软预算约束和产业政策,从理论上揭示其对产能过剩的影响机理;利用协整法对中国各工业行业产能利用率进行测度;基于2006-2016年的面板数据构建GMM动态面板模型,揭示政府行为与产能过剩之间的关系。研究结果表明,行业国有股比例与产能利用率呈倒U型关系,存在最优的国有股比例;行业软预算约束水平与产能过剩程度正相关;政府对行业发展的侧重性越强,行业产能过剩程度越高;企业规模和行业规模的扩大会增加产能过剩程度,提高对外开放水平有助于化解产能过剩。Government behavior is closely related to the formation of excess capacity, and is also the key to reduce the excess capacity, so it is necessary to explore a scientific and rational government behavior model. In this paper, government behavior is subdivided into the government ownership of state-owned property, the soft budget constraints and the government regulations so as to reveal its impact on the mechanism of excess capacity in theory. The cointegration method is used to measure the capacity utilization rate of various industrial sectors in China. The GMM dynamic panel model is built based on the panel data from 2006 to 2016 to reveal the relationship between government behavior and excess capacity. The results show that the proportion of state-owned shares and capacity utilization rate of the industry are inverted U-shaped, and there exists an optimal proportion of state-owned shares;the soft budget constraint level of the industry is positively correlated with the degree of excess capacity;the more emphasis the government places on the industry development, the higher the excess capacity in the industry;the expansion of the scale of the enterprise and the industry will increase the degree of excess capacity;improving the level of opening up will help to resolve excess capacity.

关 键 词：产能过剩 政府行为 国有股比例 软预算约束 

分 类 号：F279.2[经济管理—企业管理]