四川省民族地区城镇化对县域经济增长的影响  

The Influence of Urbanization on County Economic Growth in Ethnic Areas of Sichuan Province

作　　者：彭跃秒 李秋敏[1] PENG Yue-miao;LI Qiu-min(School of Statistics,Chengdu University of Information Technology,Chengdu 610103,China)

机构地区：[1]成都信息工程大学统计学院

出　　处：《价值工程》2019年第20期297-299,共3页Value Engineering

基　　金：成都信息工程大学引进人才科研启动项目“半参数变系数空间滞后模型的估计及其检验”(项目编号:KYTZ201641);四川省教育厅2018科研项目“基于半参数空间计量模型对中国人口老龄化的研究”(项目编号:18SA0039)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：文章基于2012-2017年四川省民族地区51个县域面板数据,利用动态面板回归分析民族地区城镇化对县域经济增长的影响。结果表明,四川民族地区的城镇化率每增加1%,人均GDP增加3.6%,对县域经济增长贡献突出。总体上产业结构调整促进县域经济增长;第一产业对县域经济增长呈负向影响;劳动力、资本投入、政府支持和交通都在一定程度上促进县域经济增长。Based on the data of 51 county panels in ethnic areas of Sichuan Province in 2011-2017,this paper analyzes the influence of urbanization on county economic growth in ethnic areas by using dynamic panel regression.The results show that or every 1% increase in urbanization rate in Sichuan ethnic areas,GDP per capita increased by 6%,which contributed to the growth of county economy.The industrial structure has a positive impact on economic growth;primary industry is negatively correlated with economic growth;labor,capital investment,government support and transportation all contribute to county economic growth to some extent.

关 键 词：民族地区 城镇化 县域经济增长 

分 类 号：F291.3[经济管理—国民经济]