公路基础设施与经济增长关系研究  

Study of Connections between Highway Transport Infrastructure and Economic Growth

作　　者：徐学明[1,2] 王仕杰[2] 陈艳艳[1] 刘小明[1] XU Xue-ming;WANG Shi-jie;CHEN Yan-yan;LIU xiao-ming(Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100124,China;CCCC Highway Consultants Co.Ltd.,Beijing 100088,China)

机构地区：[1]北京市交通工程重点实验室(北京工业大学),北京市100124 [2]中交公路规划设计院有限公司,北京市100088

出　　处：《公路》2019年第12期189-193,共5页Highway

摘　　要：公路基础设施与区域经济增长之间的关系对于制定行业发展和投资计划具有重要的作用。以贵州省作为公路快速发展地区的代表,分析公路基础设施建设和投资与经济增长的时间序列,采用ADF单位根法和Johansen协整检验法确定其内部存在长期稳定的协整关系。在此基础上,引入非交通基础设施投资额等经济增长相关因素,采用GMM方法进行综合性回归分析。实证研究了公路基础设施对经济增长的促进作用,并据此提出了提升公路基础设施建设水平、优化基础设施投资结构等建议。The relationship between highway infrastructure and regional economic growth plays an important role in industry development and investment plans.Taking Guizhou Province as the representative of rapid highway development area,in this paper the long-term and stable co-integration are determined through analyzing the relationship the time series of construction and investment of the highway infrastructure and economic growth by using ADF unit root method and Johansen integration test.Based on the above,the related factors of economic growth,such as the amount of investment in nontransportation infrastructure are brought in,and the comprehensive regression analysis is carried out using GMM method.The promoting effect of road infrastructure on economic growth is studied by project examples,and accordingly some suggestions are put forward for improving the level of highway infrastructure construction and optimizing the infrastructure investment structure.

关 键 词：交通运输规划与管理 公路项目 经济增长 

分 类 号：F540.3[经济管理—产业经济]