经济增长与碳排放存在互动因果关系吗？——基于Toda-Yamamoto方法的再检验  

The Relationship Between Carbon Emission and Economic Growth——A Reexamination Based on Toda-Yamamoto Causality Test

作　　者：赵玉姿 王岳[1] Zhao Yuzi;Wang Yue(Jinan Vocational College,Jinan 250014,China)

机构地区：[1]济南职业学院

出　　处：《中国资源综合利用》2020年第1期162-166,177,共6页China Resources Comprehensive Utilization

摘　　要：通过构建含污染变量的产出函数以及二氧化碳排放函数,本研究将碳排放和经济增长纳入一个多变量双系统框架中,利用1978-2015年的样本数据,对二者的因果关系和动态联系进行实证分析,并运用Toda-Yamamoto检验程序对碳排放与经济增长之间的因果关系进行计量检验。检验结果表明,经济增长是二氧化碳排放的单向格兰杰原因,并且能源结构和对外贸易出口也是二氧化碳排放的单向格兰杰原因。Through the construction of output function including variable of pollution and carbon dioxide function,based on the sample data of China from 1978 to 2015,this study used Toda-Yamamoto causality test to research the relationship between carbon emission and economic erowth,and analyzed the effect of related variables by impulse response function.The test results show that economic growth is the one-way granger cause of carbon dioxide emissions,otherwise,energy structure and trade export are the granger causes of carbon dioxide emissions.

关 键 词：经济增长 碳排放 Toda-Yamamoto方法 脉冲响应函数 

分 类 号：X24[环境科学与工程—环境科学]