基于ELES和灰色预测模型的湘西自治州居民消费结构的统计分析  

Statistical Analysis of Consumption Structure of Residentsin Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture Based on ELESand Gray Prediction Model

作　　者：刘诗诗 彭彩云 胡伟芳 杨宗宁 李洪毅[1] LIU Shi-shi;PENG Cai-yun;HU Wei-fang;YANG Zong-ning;LI Hong-yi(College of Mathematics and Statistics,Jishou University,Jishou 416000,Hunan,China)

机构地区：[1]吉首大学数学与统计学院,湖南吉首416000

出　　处：《兰州文理学院学报（自然科学版）》2020年第2期27-32,共6页Journal of Lanzhou University of Arts and Science(Natural Sciences)

基　　金：吉首大学校级科研项目(Jdx19001);湖南省学位与研究教育教改研究项目(2019JGYB233)。

摘　　要：湘西自治州经济发展薄弱,是国家扶贫攻坚的主战场.消费是促进经济发展的关键因素.基于ELES模型分析了湘西州近几年居民消费结构的特点,并利用灰色预测模型对湘西州未来几年居民消费结构进行预测,最后提出合理的建议,对湘西州的居民消费结构进行优化,促进湘西州整个地区的经济发展.Because of its weak economic development,Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture is one of the main battlefields for the country to fight poverty.And consumption is a key factor in promoting economic development.Based on the ELES model,the characteristics of the residents’consumption structure in Xiangxi in recent years is analyzed in this article,and the gray prediction model is applied to predict the residents’consumption structure in the next few years.Finally,reasonable suggestions to optimize the residents’consumption structure in Xiangxi is proposed,which promotes the economic development of the whole region.

关 键 词：少数民族 消费结构 ELES模型 灰色预测模型 经济发展 

分 类 号：O29[理学—应用数学]