电商环境下人力资本投资与区域经济增长——基于我国地级市面板数据的经验证据  被引量:1

Human Capital Investment and Regional Economic Growth in E-commerce——An Empirical Evidence from Prefecture-level Cities’ Panel Data in China

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作  者:课题组 马淑琴[1] 郑佳豪 Research Group(School of Economics,Zhejiang Gongshang University,Hangzhou 310018,Zhejiang,China)

机构地区:[1]浙江工商大学经济学院,浙江杭州310018 [2]不详

出  处:《中国流通经济》2020年第8期58-68,共11页China Business and Market

基  金:浙江省自然科学基金项目“电商发展、进入成本冲击与宏观经济动态性:一个基于DGSE模型的分析”(LY17G030006);浙江工商大学研究生科研创新基金项目“创新与贸易开放:建设长三角地区高水平开放现代化的内涵与路径研究”(19020020090)。

摘  要:从理论和实证两方面研究电子商务发展成熟度是否能够有效调节人力资本投资对区域经济增长的影响。首先,将电商环境纳入MRW模型,推演得出电商经济系统下区域经济增长对人力资本投资弹性具有"临界效应",具体表现为临界前正向收缩,临界后负向扩张;电商发展能够引致水平层面的人力资本投资临界下移与人均产出水平总体扩张,但不会影响结构层面的人力资本投资临界值。其次,利用2011—2016年中国27个省份245个地级市的市级面板数据,OLS模型加入二次项进行实证检验,得出以下结论:第一,全样本数据表明,人力资本与物质资本存在替代性,尤其是人力资本中的资源配置能力投资。在控制其他变量前提下,电商发展存在将非技能劳动者向技能劳动者转化的潜在效应,引致电商经济环境下平衡增长路径具有更低的人力资本投资临界水平。第二,分样本数据表明,西部地区的资源配置能力投入占比高于中部地区和东部地区。从政策视阈来看,应从两方面拓展人力资本投资对区域经济发展的引致作用。一是健全人力资本投资的市场体系和机制,拓展市场主体,进一步发挥社会主义市场经济体系对于人力资本投资和人力资本配置的基础性作用,一方面要优化经济地理配置,另一方面要促进人力资本及其他关联资本的投资结构优化,共同促进人力资本投资与区域经济发展相适应。二是以电商发展促进人力资本微观配置,以数字经济发展强化人力资本的替代效应,缓解中低端劳动力就业压力。The authors theoretically and practically explain whether the maturity of e-commerce development can effectively regulate the impact of human capital investment on regional economic growth. First,the e-commerce environment is included in the MRW model,and the derivation shows that the regional economic growth under the e-commerce economic system has a "critical effect" on the elasticity of human capital investment,which is specifically expressed as positive contraction before the critical and negative expansion after the critical;the development of e-commerce can lead to the downward shift of the level of human capital investment and the overall expansion of the per capita output level,but it will not affect the structural level of the threshold of human capital investment. Second,using the city-level panel data of 245 prefecture-level cities in 27 provinces in China from 2011 to 2016,the authors add a quadratic term to the OLS model for empirical testing and come to the following conclusions:(1)the full sample data shows that human capital and physical capital have alternatives,especially the investment in resource allocation capacity in human capital;under the premise of controlling other variables,the development of ecommerce has the potential effect of transforming unskilled labor into skilled labor,which leads to a lower critical level of human capital investment for the balanced growth path in the e-commerce economic environment;and(2)the sub-sample data shows that the resource allocation capacity of the western region accounts for a higher proportion than the central and eastern regions.From the perspective of policy,we should expand the leading role of human capital investment on regional economic development from two aspects. First,we should perfect the human capital investment market system and mechanism,cultivate more market players,and further give play to the fundamental role of socialism market economic system in human capital investment and human capital allocation:on the one hand,we should optimiz

关 键 词:人力资本投资 电子商务 区域经济增长 技能劳动者 

分 类 号:F279.33[经济管理—企业管理]

 

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